La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Nuevo modeloTodos los modelos

Greuther Fürth v 1. FC Magdeburg

Inicio: 2026-09-18 16:30 UTC

Final: Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Magdeburg

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Greuther Fürth (Local)

Predicción 32.36%3.09momio equitativo
EV -0.973%
Ventaja -0.318%
Kelly -0.472%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.30%32.35%32.40%34.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.812.803.0638.46%35.60%35.71%32.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

1. FC Magdeburg (Visitante)

Predicción 42.71%2.34momio equitativo
EV -1.77%
Ventaja -0.772%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.63%42.68%42.65%43.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.192.192.3048.78%45.72%45.66%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 24.93%4.01momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -0.579%
Kelly -0.777%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.77%24.97%24.94%26.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.673.703.9229.41%27.24%27.03%25.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Greuther Fürth (Local): 32.36%; 1. FC Magdeburg (Visitante): 42.71%; Empate: 24.93%. Para Greuther Fürth (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.09. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.06, con un valor esperado de -0.973%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.66%EV -0.973%E -0.318%K -0.472%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.63%EV -5.19%E -2.34%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.71%EV -2.27%E -0.579%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-18 15:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -2.91%E -0.971%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:50
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -2.91%E -0.971%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:25
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -2.91%E -0.971%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:24
1xBet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.58%EV -4.21%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -6.90%E -3.17%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:19
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.39%EV -4.53%E -1.54%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.47%EV -3.91%E -1.74%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.14%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 11:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.53%E -1.54%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.06%EV -7.75%E -3.59%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.41%EV -8.75%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.48%EV -5.18%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.48%EV -4.34%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 10:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.48%EV -5.18%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.48%EV -4.34%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 10:55
Suprabets🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.59%EV -5.18%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.46%EV -9.04%E -4.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 24.95%EV -7.50%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 15:18
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.58%EV -6.15%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.56%EV -5.19%E -2.34%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 07:30
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.15%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 05:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.15%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 07:25
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.15%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 07:24
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.15%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.75%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 14:40
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.15%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 15:20
BetMGM🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -6.80%E -2.36%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -3.91%E -1.74%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -7.75%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:29
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -6.80%E -2.36%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.25%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 14:44
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -6.80%E -2.36%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.25%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 14:45
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -6.80%E -2.36%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.32%E -4.91%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 15:24
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.77%E -2.73%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 07:30
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.77%E -2.73%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 07:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 08:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.11%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -2.77%E -0.709%K -0.954%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 09:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -4.01%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 07:24
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -6.90%E -3.17%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.75%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:09
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.75%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 07:25
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 07:25
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 07:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 07:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 07:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.54%EV -12.45%E -6.07%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.59%EV -9.50%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 07:22
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -12.45%E -6.07%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 15:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 31.82%EV -10.36%E -3.74%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -12.45%E -6.07%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-18 15:20
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -1.77%E -0.772%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 16:35
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -1.77%E -0.772%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -1.77%E -0.772%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -1.77%E -0.772%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 16:35
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -1.77%E -0.772%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 16:40
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -1.77%E -0.772%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -1.77%E -0.772%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -1.77%E -0.772%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 16:40
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 09:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -12.62%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -3.91%E -1.74%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -2.77%E -0.709%K -0.954%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 20:31
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.05%EV -12.62%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.50%EV -10.32%E -4.91%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -9.00%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 07:25
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -12.62%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -15.23%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-18 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -12.62%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -15.23%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-18 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -12.62%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -15.23%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-18 14:30
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -12.62%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -15.23%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-18 14:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -12.62%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -12.45%E -6.07%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-18 07:25
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.19%EV -14.24%E -5.37%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.63%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-17 16:35
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.18%EV -14.89%E -5.66%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-17 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.18%EV -14.89%E -5.66%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-17 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.06%EV -14.89%E -5.66%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.71%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -11.49%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-17 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.06%EV -14.89%E -5.66%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.71%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -11.49%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-17 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.07%EV -15.86%E -6.10%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.63%EV -6.90%E -3.17%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-17 16:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-09-18 15:25
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%1.7%2026-09-18 15:25