L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Greuther Fürth v 1. FC Magdeburg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-18 16:30 UTC

Score final : Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Magdeburg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Greuther Fürth (Local)

Prévision 32.36%3.09cote équitable
EV -0.973%
Avantage -0.318%
Kelly -0.472%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.30%32.35%32.40%34.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.812.803.0638.46%35.60%35.71%32.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

1. FC Magdeburg (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.71%2.34cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -0.772%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.63%42.68%42.65%43.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.192.192.3048.78%45.72%45.66%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.93%4.01cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -0.579%
Kelly -0.777%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.77%24.97%24.94%26.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.673.703.9229.41%27.24%27.03%25.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Greuther Fürth (Local) : 32.36% ; 1. FC Magdeburg (Visiteur) : 42.71% ; Match nul : 24.93%. Pour Greuther Fürth (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.09. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.06, pour une espérance de -0.973% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.66%EV -0.973%E -0.318%K -0.472%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.63%EV -5.19%E -2.34%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.71%EV -2.27%E -0.579%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-18 15:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -2.91%E -0.971%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:50
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -2.91%E -0.971%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:25
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -2.91%E -0.971%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:24
1xBet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.58%EV -4.21%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -6.90%E -3.17%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:19
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.39%EV -4.53%E -1.54%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.47%EV -3.91%E -1.74%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.14%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 11:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.53%E -1.54%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.06%EV -7.75%E -3.59%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.41%EV -8.75%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.48%EV -5.18%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.48%EV -4.34%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 10:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.48%EV -5.18%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.48%EV -4.34%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 10:55
Suprabets🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.59%EV -5.18%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.46%EV -9.04%E -4.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 24.95%EV -7.50%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 15:18
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.58%EV -6.15%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.56%EV -5.19%E -2.34%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 07:30
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.15%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 05:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.15%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 07:25
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.15%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 07:24
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.15%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.75%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 14:40
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.15%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 15:20
BetMGM🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -6.80%E -2.36%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -3.91%E -1.74%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -7.75%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:29
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -6.80%E -2.36%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.25%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 14:44
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -6.80%E -2.36%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.25%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 14:45
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -6.80%E -2.36%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.32%E -4.91%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 15:24
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.77%E -2.73%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 07:30
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.77%E -2.73%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 07:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 08:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.11%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -2.77%E -0.709%K -0.954%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 09:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -4.01%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 07:24
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -6.90%E -3.17%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.75%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:09
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.75%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 07:25
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 07:25
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 07:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 07:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 07:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.54%EV -12.45%E -6.07%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.59%EV -9.50%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 07:22
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -12.45%E -6.07%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 15:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 31.82%EV -10.36%E -3.74%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -12.45%E -6.07%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-18 15:20
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -1.77%E -0.772%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 16:35
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -1.77%E -0.772%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -1.77%E -0.772%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -1.77%E -0.772%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 16:35
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -1.77%E -0.772%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 16:40
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -1.77%E -0.772%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -1.77%E -0.772%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -1.77%E -0.772%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 16:40
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 09:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -12.62%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -3.91%E -1.74%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -2.77%E -0.709%K -0.954%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 20:31
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.05%EV -12.62%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.50%EV -10.32%E -4.91%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -9.00%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 07:25
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -12.62%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -15.23%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-18 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -12.62%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -15.23%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-18 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -12.62%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -15.23%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-18 14:30
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -12.62%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -15.23%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-18 14:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -12.62%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -12.45%E -6.07%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-18 07:25
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.19%EV -14.24%E -5.37%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.63%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-17 16:35
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.18%EV -14.89%E -5.66%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-17 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.18%EV -14.89%E -5.66%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-17 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.06%EV -14.89%E -5.66%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.71%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -11.49%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-17 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.06%EV -14.89%E -5.66%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.71%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -11.49%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-17 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.07%EV -15.86%E -6.10%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.63%EV -6.90%E -3.17%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-17 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-09-18 15:25
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%1.7%2026-09-18 15:25