مدرسة الاحتمالات

Fortuna Düsseldorf v Dynamo Dresden

البداية: 2026-04-24 16:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Fortuna Düsseldorf (المضيف)

التنبؤ 40.34%2.48السعر العادل
EV -3.17%
الأفضلية -1.32%
Kelly -2.27%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.74%40.44%40.34%42.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.072.252.302.4048.31%44.39%43.48%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Dynamo Dresden (الضيف)

التنبؤ 33.03%3.03السعر العادل
EV +0.752%
الأفضلية +0.247%
Kelly +0.367%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.75%32.96%33.04%33.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.832.803.0540.00%35.35%35.71%32.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.62%3.76السعر العادل
EV -1.50%
الأفضلية -0.405%
Kelly -0.555%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.45%26.59%26.63%28.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.453.503.7033.33%28.95%28.57%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV +0.752%E +0.247%K +0.367%G +0.003%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 08:45
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV +0.752%E +0.247%K +0.367%G +0.003%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 08:45
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -12.05%E -5.53%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -0.899%E -0.300%K -0.450%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 08:45
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -12.05%E -5.53%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -0.899%E -0.300%K -0.450%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 08:45
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -12.05%E -5.53%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -0.899%E -0.300%K -0.450%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 08:45
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -12.05%E -5.53%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -0.899%E -0.300%K -0.450%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 08:45
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -12.05%E -5.53%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -0.899%E -0.300%K -0.450%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 08:44
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -12.05%E -5.53%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -0.899%E -0.300%K -0.450%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 08:44
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -12.05%E -5.53%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -0.899%E -0.300%K -0.450%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 08:44
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -12.45%E -5.74%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -0.899%E -0.300%K -0.450%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -12.45%E -5.74%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -0.899%E -0.300%K -0.450%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 08:44
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%EV -12.86%E -5.95%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -2.55%E -0.865%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 08:45
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.18%EV -3.17%E -1.32%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.03%EV -3.54%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.79%EV -4.16%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 21:15
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.19%EV -4.79%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.20%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 21:14
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.19%EV -4.79%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.20%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 21:14
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -4.86%E -1.69%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -1.50%E -0.405%K -0.555%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 13:04
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -15.28%E -7.27%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.95%EV -4.86%E -1.69%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -10.82%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-21 08:44
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -15.28%E -7.27%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.95%EV -4.86%E -1.69%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -10.82%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-21 08:45
1xBet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.03%EV -5.59%E -2.39%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.75%EV -5.52%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.23%EV -8.42%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 22:35
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -5.19%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -5.85%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -4.16%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 16:35
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -5.19%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -5.85%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -4.16%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 09:55
Codere (IT)2.34I 42.74%NM 40.32%EV -5.59%E -2.39%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.85%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.58%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:59
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.19%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.85%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:39
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -5.85%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 22:41
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.85%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 15:59
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.85%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 00:04
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -6.40%E -2.76%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -5.85%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -8.42%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:34
PMU (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.49%EV -16.49%E -7.96%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.86%EV -5.85%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -12.15%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-21 08:45
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -3.17%E -1.32%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 07:24
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -2.83%E -0.775%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:00
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 16:00
Suprabets2.31I 43.29%NM 40.09%EV -6.80%E -2.95%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.07%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:04
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 21:13
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.15%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 21:14
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.15%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 21:14
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.15%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 21:15
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.15%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 21:14
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.30%EV -8.17%E -2.94%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 16:00
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.30%EV -8.17%E -2.94%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 15:59
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -4.38%E -1.85%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 07:24
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.16%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 09:55
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.16%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 09:55
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.19%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 16:49
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 01:04
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 02:23
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 09:55
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -13.26%E -6.17%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 16:35
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.66%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.88%EV -10.15%E -3.73%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.46%EV -10.02%E -2.96%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 16:00
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.81%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 07:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -13.26%E -6.17%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -10.81%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 13:04
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -13.26%E -6.17%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -10.81%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 13:04
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -13.26%E -6.17%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -10.81%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -13.26%E -6.17%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -10.81%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 13:05
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.22%EV -12.45%E -5.74%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.93%EV -12.46%E -4.70%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.85%EV -13.48%E -4.15%K -5.99%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-24 01:04
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -13.12%E -4.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -13.48%E -4.15%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 07:24
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.24%EV -13.26%E -6.17%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.93%EV -15.76%E -6.18%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.83%EV -10.82%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.74%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.96%EV -17.42%E -6.97%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -20.13%E -6.71%K -10.07%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-23 16:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.40%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.29%1.4%2026-04-24 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.40%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.29%1.4%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.40%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.29%1.4%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.22%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.61%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%1.9%2026-04-24 03:50
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-04-24 02:15
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 40.40%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%4.0%2026-04-24 00:15