Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.83
assuming max odds 4.49
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC St. Pauli (Local): 52.06%; 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit): 23.07%; Draw: 24.87%. For 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.58%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.86%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.55%EV +3.58%E +0.797%K +1.03%G +0.037% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.59%EV -5.99%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV +1.50%E +0.342%K +0.442%G +0.007% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV +1.50%E +0.342%K +0.442%G +0.007% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -7.85%E -4.44%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -0.803%E -0.187%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.69%EV -9.41%E -5.41%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -0.803%E -0.187%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 11:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -3.11%E -0.740%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 11:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -3.11%E -0.740%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.77%EV -9.72%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 11:21 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.15%EV -5.25%E -2.88%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.87%EV -4.26%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.83%EV -5.25%E -2.88%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.17%EV -7.85%E -4.44%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -9.23%E -2.53%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -9.93%E -5.74%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.95%EV -8.89%E -5.08%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.45%EV -6.57%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.71%E -3.30%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 11:13 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -0.522%E -0.131%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.01%E -0.772%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -4.25%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 11:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -7.85%E -4.44%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.89%E -5.08%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -7.85%E -4.44%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 11:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.02%EV -8.37%E -4.76%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -9.23%E -2.53%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 11:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.38%EV -7.33%E -4.12%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -11.71%E -3.30%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 11:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.38%EV -7.33%E -4.12%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -11.71%E -3.30%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 11:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -9.93%E -5.74%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.89%E -5.08%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 11:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.89%E -5.08%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 11:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.89%E -5.08%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 11:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.89%E -5.08%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 11:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.93%E -5.74%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -7.85%E -4.44%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -8.18%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -3.01%E -0.772%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.71%EV -12.02%E -7.11%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.55%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -6.81%E -3.80%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -0.522%E -0.131%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -6.81%E -3.80%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -0.522%E -0.131%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -6.81%E -3.80%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -0.522%E -0.131%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -6.81%E -3.80%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -0.522%E -0.131%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -6.81%E -3.80%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -0.522%E -0.131%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -6.81%E -3.80%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -0.522%E -0.131%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -6.81%E -3.80%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -0.522%E -0.131%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -6.81%E -3.80%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -0.522%E -0.131%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 11:23 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -7.85%E -4.44%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -9.93%E -5.74%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -12.96%E -3.70%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.44%EV -14.10%E -8.54%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.48%EV -11.18%E -2.90%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.08%EV -14.20%E -4.12%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-08-30 11:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.03%EV -9.41%E -5.41%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.49%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.53%EV -9.41%E -5.41%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.49%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -9.23%E -2.53%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-30 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.89%E -5.08%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.49%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.96%E -3.70%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.89%E -5.08%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.49%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.96%E -3.70%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.89%E -5.08%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.49%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.96%E -3.70%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.89%E -5.08%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.49%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.96%E -3.70%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -9.93%E -5.74%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -14.64%E -3.96%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -9.93%E -5.74%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -14.64%E -3.96%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 11:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.11%EV -11.50%E -6.76%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -15.80%E -4.33%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.11%EV -11.50%E -6.76%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -15.80%E -4.33%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.11%EV -11.50%E -6.76%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -15.80%E -4.33%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.81% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.87% | 1.8% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.56% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |