默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Kaiserslautern

开赛时间: 2026-08-30 11:30 UTC

最终结果: FC St. Pauli 1–2 1. FC Kaiserslautern

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC St. Pauli (主队)

预测 52.06%1.92公平赔率
EV -4.73%
优势 -2.58%
Kelly -5.70%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.83

博彩公司预测分布
50.85%52.19%51.97%53.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.651.771.771.8360.61%56.61%56.50%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

1. FC Kaiserslautern (客队)

预测 23.07%4.33公平赔率
EV +3.58%
优势 +0.797%
Kelly +1.03%
增长率 +0.037%

假设最高赔率为 4.49

博彩公司预测分布
21.55%22.99%23.14%24.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.653.974.004.4927.40%25.18%25.00%22.27%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.87%4.02公平赔率
EV -0.522%
优势 -0.131%
Kelly -0.174%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
23.47%24.82%24.89%25.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.453.743.754.0028.99%26.75%26.67%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:FC St. Pauli (主队):52.06%;1. FC Kaiserslautern (客队):23.07%;平局:24.87%。 对于“1. FC Kaiserslautern (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.33。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.49,对应+3.58%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.86%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.55%EV +3.58%E +0.797%K +1.03%G +0.037%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.59%EV -5.99%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 11:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV +1.50%E +0.342%K +0.442%G +0.007%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV +1.50%E +0.342%K +0.442%G +0.007%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 11:20
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -7.85%E -4.44%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -0.803%E -0.187%K -0.243%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 11:15
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.69%EV -9.41%E -5.41%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -0.803%E -0.187%K -0.243%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 11:19
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -3.11%E -0.740%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 11:10
Suprabets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -3.11%E -0.740%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.77%EV -9.72%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 11:21
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.15%EV -5.25%E -2.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.87%EV -4.26%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 11:20
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 11:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.83%EV -5.25%E -2.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 11:15
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.17%EV -7.85%E -4.44%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -9.23%E -2.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -9.93%E -5.74%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 11:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.95%EV -8.89%E -5.08%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.45%EV -6.57%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.71%E -3.30%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 11:13
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -0.522%E -0.131%K -0.174%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 11:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.01%E -0.772%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 11:25
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -4.25%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 11:10
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -7.85%E -4.44%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.89%E -5.08%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 11:20
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -7.85%E -4.44%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 11:10
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.02%EV -8.37%E -4.76%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -9.23%E -2.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 11:24
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.38%EV -7.33%E -4.12%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -11.71%E -3.30%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 11:10
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.38%EV -7.33%E -4.12%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -11.71%E -3.30%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 11:10
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -9.93%E -5.74%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 11:20
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.89%E -5.08%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 11:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.89%E -5.08%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 11:10
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.89%E -5.08%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 11:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.89%E -5.08%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 11:10
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.93%E -5.74%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 11:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -7.85%E -4.44%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -8.18%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -3.01%E -0.772%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 11:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.71%EV -12.02%E -7.11%K -17.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.55%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -6.81%E -3.80%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -0.522%E -0.131%K -0.174%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 11:15
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -6.81%E -3.80%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -0.522%E -0.131%K -0.174%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 11:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -6.81%E -3.80%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -0.522%E -0.131%K -0.174%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 11:15
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -6.81%E -3.80%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -0.522%E -0.131%K -0.174%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 11:15
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -6.81%E -3.80%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -0.522%E -0.131%K -0.174%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 11:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -6.81%E -3.80%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -0.522%E -0.131%K -0.174%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 11:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -6.81%E -3.80%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -0.522%E -0.131%K -0.174%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 11:15
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -6.81%E -3.80%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -0.522%E -0.131%K -0.174%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 11:15
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 11:23
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -7.85%E -4.44%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 11:15
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -9.93%E -5.74%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -12.96%E -3.70%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 11:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.44%EV -14.10%E -8.54%K -21.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.48%EV -11.18%E -2.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.08%EV -14.20%E -4.12%K -5.80%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-30 11:19
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.03%EV -9.41%E -5.41%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.49%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 11:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.53%EV -9.41%E -5.41%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.49%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -9.23%E -2.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.89%E -5.08%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.49%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.96%E -3.70%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.89%E -5.08%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.49%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.96%E -3.70%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 11:20
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.89%E -5.08%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.49%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.96%E -3.70%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 11:20
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.89%E -5.08%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.49%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.96%E -3.70%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 11:20
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -9.93%E -5.74%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -14.64%E -3.96%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -9.93%E -5.74%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -14.64%E -3.96%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 11:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.11%EV -11.50%E -6.76%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -15.80%E -4.33%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 11:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.11%EV -11.50%E -6.76%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -15.80%E -4.33%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 11:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.11%EV -11.50%E -6.76%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -15.80%E -4.33%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 11:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-08-30 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-08-30 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-08-30 11:25
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-08-30 11:25
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 52.81%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.87%1.8%2026-08-30 11:25
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-08-30 11:25