Language:English
FC Schalke 04 v 1. FC Magdeburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Schalke 04 (Local)
Prediction 45.29%2.21fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.32%45.33%45.31%48.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.012.052.1454.05%49.68%48.78%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
1. FC Magdeburg (Visit)
Prediction 28.63%3.49fair odd
EV +1.64%
Edge +0.461%
Kelly +0.641%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.76%28.60%28.60%29.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.313.273.5534.48%30.24%30.53%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.08%3.83fair odd
EV +10.34%
Edge +2.44%
Kelly +3.20%
Growth +0.331%
assuming max odds 4.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.45%26.07%26.09%26.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.533.504.2331.25%28.35%28.57%23.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Schalke 04 (Local): 45.29%; 1. FC Magdeburg (Visit): 28.63%; Draw: 26.08%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.69%EV -11.69%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.86%EV -5.81%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.45%EV +10.34%E +2.44%K +3.20%G +0.331% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.49%E -0.942%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.49%E -0.942%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.49%E -0.942%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -3.49%E -0.942%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.23%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.47%EV -2.66%E -0.782%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.01%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -2.66%E -0.782%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -5.35%E -2.56%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -2.66%E -0.782%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -5.35%E -2.56%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -2.66%E -0.782%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 19:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.83%EV -10.68%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 18:43 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +1.64%E +0.461%K +0.641%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +1.64%E +0.461%K +0.641%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.68%EV -5.35%E -2.56%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.64%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 18:57 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -10.79%E -5.48%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV +1.64%E +0.461%K +0.641%G +0.010% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -11.24%E -5.74%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +1.64%E +0.461%K +0.641%G +0.010% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -11.24%E -5.74%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +1.64%E +0.461%K +0.641%G +0.010% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -11.24%E -5.74%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +1.64%E +0.461%K +0.641%G +0.010% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -11.24%E -5.74%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +1.64%E +0.461%K +0.641%G +0.010% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -11.24%E -5.74%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +1.64%E +0.461%K +0.641%G +0.010% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -11.24%E -5.74%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +1.64%E +0.461%K +0.641%G +0.010% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 18:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.48%EV -15.77%E -8.48%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV +0.204%E +0.058%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.62%EV -11.24%E -5.74%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-21 19:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.21%EV -12.15%E -6.26%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -15.54%E -5.27%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.08%EV -6.26%E -3.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.11%EV -4.95%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -9.22%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 19:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -11.69%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV +0.204%E +0.058%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.01%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -11.69%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV +0.204%E +0.058%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.01%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.15%E -6.26%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV +0.204%E +0.058%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -10.01%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.79%EV -13.96%E -7.35%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -14.11%E -4.70%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.22%EV -10.01%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 19:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-21 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-21 18:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.17%EV -14.41%E -7.62%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -2.66%E -0.782%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -12.62%E -3.77%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.17%EV -14.41%E -7.62%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -2.66%E -0.782%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -12.62%E -3.77%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 45.13%EV -16.22%E -8.77%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.79%EV -16.97%E -5.85%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.09%EV -16.53%E -5.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 0.6% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.33% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.23% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43% | 2.1% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |