La escuela de los momios

FC Schalke 04 v 1. FC Magdeburg

Inicio: 2026-02-21 19:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Schalke 04 (Local)

Predicción 45.29%2.21momio equitativo
EV -3.09%
Ventaja -1.44%
Kelly -2.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.32%45.33%45.31%48.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.012.052.1454.05%49.68%48.78%46.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

1. FC Magdeburg (Visitante)

Predicción 28.63%3.49momio equitativo
EV +1.64%
Ventaja +0.461%
Kelly +0.641%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.76%28.60%28.60%29.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.313.273.5534.48%30.24%30.53%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.08%3.83momio equitativo
EV +10.34%
Ventaja +2.44%
Kelly +3.20%
Crecimiento +0.331%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.45%26.07%26.09%26.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.533.504.2331.25%28.35%28.57%23.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.69%EV -11.69%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.86%EV -5.81%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.45%EV +10.34%E +2.44%K +3.20%G +0.331%5.3%2026-02-21 19:20
Codere (IT)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.49%E -0.942%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 19:15
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.49%E -0.942%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 19:20
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.49%E -0.942%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 18:40
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -3.49%E -0.942%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 19:15
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.23%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.47%EV -2.66%E -0.782%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.01%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 19:20
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -2.66%E -0.782%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 18:39
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -5.35%E -2.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -2.66%E -0.782%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 19:00
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -5.35%E -2.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -2.66%E -0.782%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 19:05
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 19:15
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 19:09
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 19:25
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.83%EV -10.68%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 18:43
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 19:15
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 19:15
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 19:15
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +1.64%E +0.461%K +0.641%G +0.010%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:45
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +1.64%E +0.461%K +0.641%G +0.010%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:45
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 18:55
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 19:15
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 18:45
Suprabets2.09I 47.85%NM 44.68%EV -5.35%E -2.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.64%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 18:57
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -10.79%E -5.48%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV +1.64%E +0.461%K +0.641%G +0.010%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 18:45
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -11.24%E -5.74%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +1.64%E +0.461%K +0.641%G +0.010%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 18:45
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -11.24%E -5.74%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +1.64%E +0.461%K +0.641%G +0.010%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 18:45
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -11.24%E -5.74%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +1.64%E +0.461%K +0.641%G +0.010%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 18:45
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -11.24%E -5.74%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +1.64%E +0.461%K +0.641%G +0.010%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 18:45
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -11.24%E -5.74%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +1.64%E +0.461%K +0.641%G +0.010%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 18:45
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -11.24%E -5.74%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +1.64%E +0.461%K +0.641%G +0.010%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 18:45
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 18:40
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 18:40
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 19:05
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 19:20
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 19:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.48%EV -15.77%E -8.48%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV +0.204%E +0.058%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-21 18:15
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.62%EV -11.24%E -5.74%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 19:14
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.21%EV -12.15%E -6.26%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -15.54%E -5.27%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-21 19:15
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.08%EV -6.26%E -3.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.11%EV -4.95%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -9.22%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:24
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -11.69%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV +0.204%E +0.058%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.01%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -11.69%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV +0.204%E +0.058%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.01%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 18:45
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.15%E -6.26%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV +0.204%E +0.058%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -10.01%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 18:45
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.79%EV -13.96%E -7.35%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -14.11%E -4.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.22%EV -10.01%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-21 19:20
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 19:20
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 19:19
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 19:20
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 19:20
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-21 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-21 18:40
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-21 18:39
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.17%EV -14.41%E -7.62%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -2.66%E -0.782%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -12.62%E -3.77%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 18:45
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.17%EV -14.41%E -7.62%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -2.66%E -0.782%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -12.62%E -3.77%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 18:45
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 45.13%EV -16.22%E -8.77%K -19.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.79%EV -16.97%E -5.85%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.09%EV -16.53%E -5.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%19.8%2026-02-21 19:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-02-21 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-02-21 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-02-21 19:15
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-02-21 19:25
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.33%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.23%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%2.1%2026-02-21 19:20