Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Energie Cottbus v Greuther Fürth

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 11:00 UTC

Final: FC Energie Cottbus 3–4 Greuther Fürth

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Energie Cottbus (Local)

Prediction 38.36%2.61fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.700%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.11%38.37%38.36%39.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.272.402.402.5644.05%41.74%41.67%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Greuther Fürth (Visit)

Prediction 36.22%2.76fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.683%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%36.12%36.25%37.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.562.552.7141.67%39.09%39.22%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.42%3.93fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -0.554%
Kelly -0.749%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.31%25.51%25.39%26.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.603.603.8529.41%27.75%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Energie Cottbus (Local): 38.36%; Greuther Fürth (Visit): 36.22%; Draw: 25.42%. For FC Energie Cottbus (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.56, with an expected value of -1.79%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.82%EV -1.79%E -0.700%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.73%EV -1.85%E -0.683%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.45%EV -6.96%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 10:50
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.40%EV -5.47%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.61%EV -5.69%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 10:50
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.84%E -2.24%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 10:44
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.46%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.33%EV -5.24%E -2.12%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.84%E -2.24%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.75%EV -5.63%E -2.29%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.83%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 09:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.75%EV -5.63%E -2.29%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.83%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 09:30
Suprabets🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.94%EV -5.63%E -2.29%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.62%EV -5.11%E -1.95%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.44%EV -10.27%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 10:37
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -5.84%E -2.24%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -2.13%E -0.554%K -0.749%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 10:50
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.84%E -2.24%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -3.40%E -0.896%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 08:55
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.84%E -2.24%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 08:50
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.02%E -1.52%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 10:33
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.65%E -3.00%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 08:50
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.65%E -3.00%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 10:43
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.65%E -3.00%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 10:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.38%EV -6.78%E -2.79%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.28%EV -6.92%E -2.69%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -6.46%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 10:45
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.85%EV -7.16%E -2.96%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.35%EV -8.73%E -3.47%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 08:50
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.85%EV -7.16%E -2.96%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.35%EV -8.73%E -3.47%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -2.21%E -0.820%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 10:25
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.84%E -2.24%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:25
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.84%E -2.24%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.84%E -2.24%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:25
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.84%E -2.24%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.84%E -2.24%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.84%E -2.24%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.84%E -2.24%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:25
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.84%E -2.24%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.70%EV -7.65%E -3.00%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -2.13%E -0.554%K -0.749%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 08:50
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.84%E -2.24%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 10:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -7.65%E -3.00%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 10:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -7.65%E -3.00%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 10:40
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.65%E -3.00%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 10:44
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -5.11%E -1.95%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.57%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 10:30
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -5.11%E -1.95%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.57%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 10:31
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -5.11%E -1.95%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.57%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 10:31
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -5.11%E -1.95%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.57%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 10:30
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.46%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 10:25
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.46%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 10:40
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.46%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 08:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.70%E -3.65%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.46%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -13.57%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 10:35
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.70%E -3.65%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.46%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -13.57%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 10:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -9.08%E -3.83%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.46%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.57%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 10:35
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -9.08%E -3.83%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.46%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.57%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 10:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -9.46%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 10:35
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.77%EV -10.61%E -4.56%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.46%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.74%EV -11.00%E -4.74%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -9.46%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 10:25
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.74%EV -11.00%E -4.74%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -9.46%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 10:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -11.77%E -5.12%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -9.46%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 10:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -11.77%E -5.12%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -7.65%E -3.00%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -11.03%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 10:45
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.77%E -5.12%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.46%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.03%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 10:30
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.77%E -5.12%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -9.46%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -13.57%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 10:31
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -11.77%E -5.12%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -13.08%E -5.45%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 08:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.90%EV -12.53%E -5.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.76%EV -10.18%E -4.11%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -11.03%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 10:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.90%EV -12.53%E -5.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.76%EV -10.18%E -4.11%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -11.03%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 10:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.90%EV -12.53%E -5.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.76%EV -10.18%E -4.11%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -11.03%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 10:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 38.38%EV -12.92%E -5.69%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.00%EV -12.35%E -5.11%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.62%EV -13.57%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.18%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%0.7%2026-08-29 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.36%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-08-29 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.36%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-08-29 10:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.36%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-08-29 10:55
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.64%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%1.7%2026-08-29 10:55
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.24%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.1%2026-08-29 10:55