Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Elversberg v Karlsruher SC

Начало: 2026-04-17 16:30 UTC

Итог: Elversberg 3–0 Karlsruher SC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Elversberg (Хозяева)

Прогноз 64.81%1.54справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.78%
Преимущество -1.86%
Kelly -5.57%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
62.72%64.87%64.86%67.51%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.321.421.431.5075.76%70.19%69.93%66.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Karlsruher SC (Гости)

Прогноз 16.11%6.21справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.71%
Преимущество +0.725%
Kelly +0.857%
Рост +0.040%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.13%16.13%16.10%18.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.905.745.756.5020.41%17.41%17.39%15.38%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 19.08%5.24справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.357%
Преимущество +0.068%
Kelly +0.084%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.26

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.57%19.00%19.04%21.42%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.774.755.2625.00%20.96%21.05%19.01%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Elversberg (Хозяева): 64.81%; Karlsruher SC (Гости): 16.11%; Ничья: 19.08%. Для исхода «Karlsruher SC (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.21. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.71%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV +4.71%E +0.725%K +0.857%G +0.040%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 16:25
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -11.86%E -8.72%K -32.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV +4.71%E +0.725%K +0.857%G +0.040%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 16:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.57%EV -7.97%E -5.61%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.25%EV -0.118%E -0.019%K -0.023%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV -0.788%E -0.151%K -0.188%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 16:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.97%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -1.73%E -0.284%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 15:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.97%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -1.73%E -0.284%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 15:59
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 16:25
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.60%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 16:15
Suprabets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.00%EV -7.97%E -5.61%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -2.70%E -0.529%K -0.657%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 16:16
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 16:23
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.67%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 16:00
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 15:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 15:59
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 15:59
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 16:00
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 15:59
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 15:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -7.97%E -5.61%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 16:24
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -9.26%E -6.62%K -23.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 14:00
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -9.26%E -6.62%K -23.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -7.97%E -5.61%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 16:25
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.20%EV -11.86%E -8.72%K -32.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -0.788%E -0.151%K -0.188%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 15:43
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.56%EV -4.73%E -3.22%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 16.12%EV -3.66%E -0.612%K -0.735%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.32%EV +0.357%E +0.068%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 16:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.81%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.95%EV -5.76%E -0.984%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.24%EV -7.47%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 16:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.78%EV -5.38%E -3.68%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -6.56%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 16:24
LeoVegas🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.56%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 16:00
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -4.08%E -2.76%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:24
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.53%EV -4.73%E -3.22%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 16:24
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.53%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.05%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 16:20
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.69%EV -7.97%E -5.61%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 16:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.66%EV -10.56%E -7.65%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.52%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.83%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-17 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.66%EV -10.56%E -7.65%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.52%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.83%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-17 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.44%EV -11.86%E -8.72%K -32.94%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.65%EV -9.78%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.92%EV -16.05%E -3.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-17 16:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 65.94%EV -14.45%E -10.95%K -45.16%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.54%EV -9.78%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.52%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-17 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -4.08%E -2.76%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 16:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -4.08%E -2.76%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 16:24
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 16:23
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.15%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -7.47%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 16:25
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.15%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -7.47%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 16:24
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 16:19
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 16:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 16:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -9.26%E -6.62%K -23.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 15:44
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -11.86%E -8.72%K -32.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-17 14:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 63.00%EV -11.86%E -8.72%K -32.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%EV -23.68%E -5.92%K -7.89%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-17 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.39%EV -9.91%E -7.13%K -25.42%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.57%EV -13.01%E -2.41%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.04%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-17 16:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.28%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -14.62%E -2.76%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 16:24
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.13%EV -2.78%E -1.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.00%EV -15.26%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.86%EV -4.22%E -0.841%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 16:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -15.42%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 16:25
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -15.42%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 16:24
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -15.42%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -15.42%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 16:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.79%EV -9.26%E -6.62%K -23.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -15.42%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.20%EV -11.28%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-17 16:23
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.31%EV -9.91%E -7.13%K -25.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -21.06%E -4.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.72%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-17 16:25
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.44%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46%0.3%2026-04-17 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.44%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46%0.3%2026-04-17 16:24
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.44%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46%0.3%2026-04-17 16:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.13%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-04-17 16:24
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 66.05%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.57%1.6%2026-04-17 16:24
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 66.99%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.47%3.0%2026-04-17 16:20