A Escola das Odds

Elversberg v Karlsruher SC

Início: 2026-04-17 16:30 UTC

Final: Elversberg 3–0 Karlsruher SC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Elversberg (Local)

Previsão 64.81%1.54odd justa
EV -2.78%
Vantagem -1.86%
Kelly -5.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.72%64.87%64.86%67.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.321.421.431.5075.76%70.19%69.93%66.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Karlsruher SC (Visitante)

Previsão 16.11%6.21odd justa
EV +4.71%
Vantagem +0.725%
Kelly +0.857%
Crescimento +0.040%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.13%16.13%16.10%18.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.905.745.756.5020.41%17.41%17.39%15.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 19.08%5.24odd justa
EV +0.357%
Vantagem +0.068%
Kelly +0.084%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.57%19.00%19.04%21.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.774.755.2625.00%20.96%21.05%19.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV +4.71%E +0.725%K +0.857%G +0.040%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 16:25
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -11.86%E -8.72%K -32.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV +4.71%E +0.725%K +0.857%G +0.040%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 16:19
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.57%EV -7.97%E -5.61%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.25%EV -0.118%E -0.019%K -0.023%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV -0.788%E -0.151%K -0.188%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 16:24
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 64.97%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -1.73%E -0.284%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 15:59
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.97%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -1.73%E -0.284%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 15:59
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 16:25
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 65.60%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 16:15
Suprabets1.42I 70.42%NM 66.00%EV -7.97%E -5.61%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -2.70%E -0.529%K -0.657%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 16:16
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 16:23
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.67%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 16:00
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 16:00
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 15:59
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 15:59
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 15:59
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 16:00
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 15:59
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 15:59
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -7.97%E -5.61%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 16:24
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -9.26%E -6.62%K -23.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 14:00
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -9.26%E -6.62%K -23.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 16:15
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -7.97%E -5.61%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 16:25
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 67.20%EV -11.86%E -8.72%K -32.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -0.788%E -0.151%K -0.188%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 15:43
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 65.56%EV -4.73%E -3.22%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 16.12%EV -3.66%E -0.612%K -0.735%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.32%EV +0.357%E +0.068%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 16:24
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.81%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.95%EV -5.76%E -0.984%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.24%EV -7.47%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 16:24
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.78%EV -5.38%E -3.68%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -6.56%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 16:24
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.56%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 16:00
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -4.08%E -2.76%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:24
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 64.53%EV -4.73%E -3.22%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 16:24
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.53%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.05%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 16:20
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 64.69%EV -7.97%E -5.61%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 16:24
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 64.66%EV -10.56%E -7.65%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.52%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.83%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-17 16:00
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 64.66%EV -10.56%E -7.65%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.52%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.83%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-17 16:00
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.44%EV -11.86%E -8.72%K -32.94%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.65%EV -9.78%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.92%EV -16.05%E -3.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-17 16:00
NetBet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 65.94%EV -14.45%E -10.95%K -45.16%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.54%EV -9.78%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.52%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-17 16:15
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -4.08%E -2.76%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 16:24
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -4.08%E -2.76%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 16:24
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 16:23
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 64.15%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -7.47%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 16:25
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.15%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -7.47%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 16:24
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 16:19
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 16:19
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 16:19
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 16:20
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -9.26%E -6.62%K -23.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 15:44
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -11.86%E -8.72%K -32.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-17 14:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.00%EV -11.86%E -8.72%K -32.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%EV -23.68%E -5.92%K -7.89%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-17 14:00
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 64.39%EV -9.91%E -7.13%K -25.42%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.57%EV -13.01%E -2.41%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.04%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-17 16:24
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.28%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -14.62%E -2.76%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 16:24
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.13%EV -2.78%E -1.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.00%EV -15.26%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.86%EV -4.22%E -0.841%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 16:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -15.42%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 16:25
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -15.42%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 16:24
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -15.42%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -15.42%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 16:24
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.79%EV -9.26%E -6.62%K -23.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -15.42%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.20%EV -11.28%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-17 16:23
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.31%EV -9.91%E -7.13%K -25.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -21.06%E -4.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.72%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-17 16:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.44%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46%0.3%2026-04-17 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.44%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46%0.3%2026-04-17 16:24
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.44%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46%0.3%2026-04-17 16:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.13%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-04-17 16:24
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 66.05%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.57%1.6%2026-04-17 16:24
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 66.99%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.47%3.0%2026-04-17 16:20