La scuola delle quote

Elversberg v FC Schalke 04

Inizio: 2026-04-12 11:30 UTC

Finale: Elversberg 1–2 FC Schalke 04

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Elversberg (Casa)

Previsione 45.78%2.18quota equa
EV -2.95%
Vantaggio -1.39%
Kelly -2.64%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.96%45.70%45.69%46.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.032.052.1252.63%49.25%48.78%47.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Schalke 04 (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.51%3.63quota equa
EV -0.128%
Vantaggio -0.035%
Kelly -0.049%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.46%27.57%27.55%29.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.283.303.6333.90%30.50%30.30%27.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.71%3.74quota equa
EV -3.84%
Vantaggio -1.07%
Kelly -1.48%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.86%26.74%26.76%28.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.453.453.6033.33%28.98%28.99%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.95%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.95%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.24%EV -4.33%E -2.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.62%EV -0.128%E -0.035%K -0.049%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 11:00
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -10.52%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -10.52%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Codere (IT)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -5.24%E -2.53%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Suprabets2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.36%EV -6.18%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.36%EV -8.92%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 10:56
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 05:55
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 10:20
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 05:53
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.08%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 10:59
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 10:58
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 11:00
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.85%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 11:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 05:55
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 05:55
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 10:59
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -6.62%E -3.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.10%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.94%EV -7.05%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.20%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.98%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -7.05%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 11:00
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.85%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.85%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 11:00
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.10%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -17.46%E -5.82%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.10%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -17.46%E -5.82%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 07:00
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.08%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 07:14
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.58%E -3.26%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.96%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -18.84%E -6.39%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.52%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.30%EV -10.28%E -5.24%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.25%EV -8.38%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.45%EV -8.38%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 10:59
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 10:59
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.96%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 05:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.96%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 05:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.96%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 05:54
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.96%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 05:54
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -14.52%E -4.54%K -6.60%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -11.19%E -5.77%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -10.52%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -12.57%E -6.58%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -19.87%E -6.62%K -9.93%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-12 11:00
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.71%EV -13.03%E -6.86%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -11.96%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -14.52%E -4.54%K -6.60%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-12 11:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.29%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.31%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.39%0.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.29%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.31%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.39%0.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.29%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.31%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.39%0.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.29%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.31%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.39%0.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%1.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.59%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%3.0%2026-04-12 11:00