L’École des cotes

Elversberg v FC Schalke 04

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 11:30 UTC

Score final : Elversberg 1–2 FC Schalke 04

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elversberg (Local)

Prévision 45.78%2.18cote équitable
EV -2.95%
Avantage -1.39%
Kelly -2.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.96%45.70%45.69%46.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.032.052.1252.63%49.25%48.78%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Schalke 04 (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.51%3.63cote équitable
EV -0.128%
Avantage -0.035%
Kelly -0.049%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.46%27.57%27.55%29.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.283.303.6333.90%30.50%30.30%27.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.71%3.74cote équitable
EV -3.84%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -1.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.86%26.74%26.76%28.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.453.453.6033.33%28.98%28.99%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.95%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.95%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.24%EV -4.33%E -2.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.62%EV -0.128%E -0.035%K -0.049%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 11:00
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -10.52%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -10.52%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Codere (IT)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -5.24%E -2.53%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Suprabets2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.36%EV -6.18%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.36%EV -8.92%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 10:56
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 05:55
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 10:20
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 05:53
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.08%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 10:59
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 10:58
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 11:00
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.85%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 11:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 05:55
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 05:55
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 10:59
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -6.62%E -3.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.10%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.94%EV -7.05%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.20%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.98%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -7.05%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 11:00
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.85%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.85%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 11:00
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.10%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -17.46%E -5.82%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.10%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -17.46%E -5.82%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 07:00
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.08%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 07:14
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.58%E -3.26%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.96%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -18.84%E -6.39%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.52%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.30%EV -10.28%E -5.24%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.25%EV -8.38%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.45%EV -8.38%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 10:59
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 10:59
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.96%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 05:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.96%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 05:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.96%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 05:54
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.96%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 05:54
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -14.52%E -4.54%K -6.60%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -11.19%E -5.77%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -10.52%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -12.57%E -6.58%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -19.87%E -6.62%K -9.93%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-12 11:00
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.71%EV -13.03%E -6.86%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -11.96%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -14.52%E -4.54%K -6.60%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-12 11:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.29%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.31%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.39%0.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.29%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.31%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.39%0.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.29%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.31%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.39%0.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.29%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.31%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.39%0.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%1.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.59%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%3.0%2026-04-12 11:00