La escuela de los momios

Elversberg v FC Schalke 04

Inicio: 2026-04-12 11:30 UTC

Final: Elversberg 1–2 FC Schalke 04

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Elversberg (Local)

Predicción 45.78%2.18momio equitativo
EV -2.95%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -2.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.96%45.70%45.69%46.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.032.052.1252.63%49.25%48.78%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Schalke 04 (Visitante)

Predicción 27.51%3.63momio equitativo
EV -0.128%
Ventaja -0.035%
Kelly -0.049%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.46%27.57%27.55%29.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.283.303.6333.90%30.50%30.30%27.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.71%3.74momio equitativo
EV -3.84%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.86%26.74%26.76%28.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.453.453.6033.33%28.98%28.99%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.95%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.95%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.24%EV -4.33%E -2.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.62%EV -0.128%E -0.035%K -0.049%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 11:00
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -10.52%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -10.52%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Codere (IT)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -5.24%E -2.53%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Suprabets2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.36%EV -6.18%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.36%EV -8.92%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 10:56
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 05:55
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 10:20
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 05:53
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.08%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 10:59
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 10:58
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 11:00
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.85%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 11:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 05:55
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 05:55
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 10:59
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -6.62%E -3.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.10%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.94%EV -7.05%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.20%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.98%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -7.05%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 11:00
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.85%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.85%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 11:00
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.10%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -17.46%E -5.82%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.10%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -17.46%E -5.82%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 07:00
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.08%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 07:14
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.58%E -3.26%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.96%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -18.84%E -6.39%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.52%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.30%EV -10.28%E -5.24%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.25%EV -8.38%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.45%EV -8.38%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 10:59
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 10:59
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.96%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 05:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.96%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 05:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.96%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 05:54
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.96%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 05:54
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -14.52%E -4.54%K -6.60%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -11.19%E -5.77%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -10.52%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -12.57%E -6.58%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -14.71%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -19.87%E -6.62%K -9.93%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-12 11:00
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.71%EV -13.03%E -6.86%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -11.96%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -14.52%E -4.54%K -6.60%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-12 11:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.29%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.31%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.39%0.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.29%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.31%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.39%0.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.29%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.31%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.39%0.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.29%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.31%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.39%0.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%1.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.59%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%3.0%2026-04-12 11:00