Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eintracht Braunschweig v Fortuna Düsseldorf

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eintracht Braunschweig (Local)

Prediction 30.66%3.26fair odd
EV -0.657%
Edge -0.203%
Kelly -0.293%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.48%30.68%30.63%32.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.983.003.2437.74%33.58%33.33%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visit)

Prediction 41.55%2.41fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.34%41.57%41.49%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.222.252.3448.78%44.97%44.44%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.79%3.60fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -0.785%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.58%27.75%27.88%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.343.353.5034.72%29.94%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Eintracht Braunschweig (Local): 30.66%; Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visit): 41.55%; Draw: 27.79%. For Eintracht Braunschweig (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.24, with an expected value of -0.657%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.76%EV -0.657%E -0.203%K -0.293%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.20%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.04%EV -7.75%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 04:34
BetOnline.ag🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.76%EV -0.657%E -0.203%K -0.293%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.20%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.04%EV -7.75%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 04:34
Pinnacle🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 30.08%EV -1.27%E -0.394%K -0.572%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.76%EV -3.60%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.16%EV -4.41%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-14 00:15
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -1.88%E -0.589%K -0.856%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 04:24
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -1.88%E -0.589%K -0.856%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 22:10
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 04:19
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.75%E -0.785%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 22:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.67%EV -5.68%E -2.50%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 01:49
1xBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -7.34%E -3.29%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.85%EV -6.64%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 19:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -5.56%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -7.34%E -3.29%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 03:58
Suprabets🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 30.43%EV -5.87%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.52%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.05%EV -7.47%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 00:23
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -6.48%E -2.13%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 04:52
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.48%E -2.13%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.92%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 01:45
Everygame🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.48%E -2.13%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.92%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 00:15
theScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -6.48%E -2.13%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 01:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 30.17%EV -7.40%E -2.45%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.38%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.45%EV -7.75%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 01:48
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -2.75%E -0.785%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 05:50
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 04:44
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 04:44
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 14:09
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -7.75%E -3.49%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 01:45
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -7.75%E -3.49%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 01:45
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 04:30
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 04:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 04:29
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 04:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 04:25
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 04:29
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 04:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 04:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -5.26%E -2.31%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.75%E -0.785%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -5.26%E -2.31%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.75%E -0.785%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 13:24
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.75%E -0.785%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 05:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 05:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 05:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.59%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 01:45
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.41%EV -12.74%E -6.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-14 01:45
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -2.75%E -0.785%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 05:49
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.14%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 13:25
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.14%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 13:25
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.14%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 13:24
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.14%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 13:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.14%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 13:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.14%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 13:24
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.14%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 13:25
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -7.34%E -3.29%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -4.14%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -7.34%E -3.29%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -4.14%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 13:24
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -11.70%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -7.34%E -3.29%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 13:25
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -11.70%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.59%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 05:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 30.56%EV -13.53%E -4.80%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 41.64%EV -13.99%E -6.76%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.80%EV -13.86%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-14 04:53
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -14.15%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.45%EV -11.08%E -5.18%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-07 13:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -14.15%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.45%EV -11.08%E -5.18%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-07 13:24
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -14.15%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-14 05:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -14.15%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -12.74%E -6.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 01:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -14.15%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -12.74%E -6.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -19.97%E -6.94%K -10.62%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-14 05:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 31.91%EV -18.75%E -7.07%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.25%EV -14.82%E -7.23%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.84%EV -12.47%E -3.96%K -5.80%G +0.000%18.3%2026-03-14 05:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-03-14 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-03-14 06:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-03-14 06:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-03-14 06:15
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%1.0%2026-03-14 05:14
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-14 03:10