La escuela de los momios

Eintracht Braunschweig v Fortuna Düsseldorf

Inicio: 2026-03-14 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Eintracht Braunschweig (Local)

Predicción 30.66%3.26momio equitativo
EV -0.657%
Ventaja -0.203%
Kelly -0.293%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.48%30.68%30.63%32.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.983.003.2437.74%33.58%33.33%30.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visitante)

Predicción 41.55%2.41momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -2.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.34%41.57%41.49%42.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.222.252.3448.78%44.97%44.44%42.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.79%3.60momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -0.785%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.58%27.75%27.88%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.343.353.5034.72%29.94%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag3.24I 30.86%NM 29.76%EV -0.657%E -0.203%K -0.293%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.20%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.04%EV -7.75%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 04:34
BetOnline.ag3.24I 30.86%NM 29.76%EV -0.657%E -0.203%K -0.293%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.20%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.04%EV -7.75%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 04:34
Pinnacle3.22I 31.06%NM 30.08%EV -1.27%E -0.394%K -0.572%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.76%EV -3.60%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.16%EV -4.41%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-14 00:15
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -1.88%E -0.589%K -0.856%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 04:24
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -1.88%E -0.589%K -0.856%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 22:10
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 04:19
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.75%E -0.785%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 22:20
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.67%EV -5.68%E -2.50%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 01:49
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -7.34%E -3.29%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.85%EV -6.64%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 19:15
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -5.56%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -7.34%E -3.29%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 03:58
Suprabets3.07I 32.57%NM 30.43%EV -5.87%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.52%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.05%EV -7.47%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 00:23
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -6.48%E -2.13%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 04:52
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.48%E -2.13%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.92%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 01:45
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.48%E -2.13%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.92%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 00:15
theScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -6.48%E -2.13%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 01:45
Betclic (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 30.17%EV -7.40%E -2.45%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.38%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.45%EV -7.75%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 01:48
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -2.75%E -0.785%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 05:50
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 04:44
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 04:44
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 14:09
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -7.75%E -3.49%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 01:45
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -7.75%E -3.49%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 01:45
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 04:30
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 04:30
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 04:29
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 04:29
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 04:25
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 04:29
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 04:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 04:25
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -5.26%E -2.31%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.75%E -0.785%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 13:25
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -5.26%E -2.31%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.75%E -0.785%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 13:24
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.75%E -0.785%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 05:49
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 05:49
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 05:50
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.59%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 01:45
Parions Sport (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.41%EV -12.74%E -6.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-14 01:45
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -2.75%E -0.785%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 05:49
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.14%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 13:25
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.14%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 13:25
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.14%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 13:24
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.14%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 13:24
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.14%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 13:24
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.14%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 13:24
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.14%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 13:25
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -7.34%E -3.29%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -4.14%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -7.34%E -3.29%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -4.14%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 13:24
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -11.70%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -7.34%E -3.29%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 13:25
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -11.70%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.59%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 05:50
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 30.56%EV -13.53%E -4.80%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 41.64%EV -13.99%E -6.76%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.80%EV -13.86%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-14 04:53
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -14.15%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.45%EV -11.08%E -5.18%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-07 13:25
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -14.15%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.45%EV -11.08%E -5.18%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-07 13:24
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -14.15%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-14 05:50
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -14.15%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -12.74%E -6.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 01:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -14.15%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -12.74%E -6.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -19.97%E -6.94%K -10.62%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-14 05:49
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 31.91%EV -18.75%E -7.07%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.25%EV -14.82%E -7.23%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.84%EV -12.47%E -3.96%K -5.80%G +0.000%18.3%2026-03-14 05:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-03-14 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-03-14 06:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-03-14 06:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-03-14 06:15
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%1.0%2026-03-14 05:14
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-14 03:10