Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eintracht Braunschweig v Dynamo Dresden

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 11:00 UTC

Final: Eintracht Braunschweig 2–1 Dynamo Dresden

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eintracht Braunschweig (Local)

Prediction 36.63%2.73fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.545%
Kelly -0.867%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.71%36.69%36.59%39.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.482.502.6944.44%40.35%40.00%37.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dynamo Dresden (Visit)

Prediction 35.65%2.81fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.718%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.11%35.69%35.67%37.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.602.602.7541.67%38.50%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.72%3.61fair odd
EV -0.191%
Edge -0.053%
Kelly -0.074%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.77%27.63%27.75%28.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.373.393.6033.33%29.69%29.50%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Eintracht Braunschweig (Local): 36.63%; Dynamo Dresden (Visit): 35.65%; Draw: 27.72%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -0.191%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.94%EV -1.47%E -0.545%K -0.867%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.54%EV -3.04%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.52%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 05:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.91%EV -3.30%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.37%EV -4.47%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 05:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.91%EV -3.30%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.37%EV -4.47%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 05:14
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.191%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 23:20
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 05:14
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 11:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 05:14
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 05:14
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 05:14
1xBet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.99%EV -5.13%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -6.61%E -2.52%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -9.06%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 05:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.99%EV -5.13%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -6.61%E -2.52%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -9.06%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 05:15
Suprabets🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.21%EV -5.49%E -2.13%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.65%EV -6.61%E -2.52%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -7.95%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 05:12
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.59%E -2.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -9.10%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -0.191%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 05:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.59%E -2.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 11:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.59%E -2.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 23:04
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.59%E -2.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 05:11
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.59%E -2.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -2.96%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.59%E -2.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -2.96%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 16:40
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.59%E -2.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -9.10%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 23:08
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -6.59%E -2.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 05:14
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -7.69%E -3.05%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -8.03%E -3.11%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 11:20
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -7.69%E -3.05%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -8.03%E -3.11%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 11:20
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.191%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 05:15
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 14:55
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.61%E -2.52%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 05:14
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -2.96%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 05:13
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-04 16:39
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 05:14
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 05:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 22:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 22:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -10.26%E -4.19%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -9.10%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 11:50
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.26%E -4.19%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -12.67%E -5.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 05:14
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.26%E -4.19%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 05:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.26%E -4.19%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 05:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.26%E -4.19%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 05:15
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.26%E -4.19%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 05:13
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -12.09%E -5.04%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -1.98%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.96%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -12.09%E -5.04%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -1.98%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.96%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -12.09%E -5.04%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 23:03
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -12.09%E -5.04%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -9.10%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -12.09%E -5.04%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -14.45%E -6.02%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.83%E -5.61%K -8.41%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-09 05:14
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.96%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 11:05
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.96%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 11:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.96%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 11:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.96%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 11:05
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.96%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 11:05
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.96%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 11:05
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.96%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 11:05
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 11:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 36.61%EV -13.19%E -5.56%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 35.85%EV -13.74%E -5.68%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.54%EV -12.67%E -4.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-08 23:24
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -13.92%E -5.92%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 11:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.85%EV -13.92%E -5.92%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.08%EV -14.45%E -6.02%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.06%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-07 23:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.10%EV -16.48%E -7.23%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.10%EV -16.48%E -7.23%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 11:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.00%EV -17.58%E -7.81%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.41%EV -9.10%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-02 11:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.77%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-05-09 05:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-05-09 05:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-05-09 05:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-05-09 05:14
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-05-09 02:09
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.01%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.01%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-05-09 05:14