La escuela de los momios

Eintracht Braunschweig v Dynamo Dresden

Inicio: 2026-05-09 11:00 UTC

Final: Eintracht Braunschweig 2–1 Dynamo Dresden

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Eintracht Braunschweig (Local)

Predicción 36.63%2.73momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.545%
Kelly -0.867%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.71%36.69%36.59%39.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.482.502.6944.44%40.35%40.00%37.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dynamo Dresden (Visitante)

Predicción 35.65%2.81momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -0.718%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.11%35.69%35.67%37.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.602.602.7541.67%38.50%38.46%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.72%3.61momio equitativo
EV -0.191%
Ventaja -0.053%
Kelly -0.074%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.77%27.63%27.75%28.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.373.393.6033.33%29.69%29.50%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.69I 37.17%NM 35.94%EV -1.47%E -0.545%K -0.867%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.54%EV -3.04%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.52%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 05:14
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.91%EV -3.30%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.37%EV -4.47%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 05:14
BetOnline.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.91%EV -3.30%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.37%EV -4.47%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 05:14
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.191%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 23:20
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 05:14
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 11:04
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 05:14
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 05:14
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 05:14
1xBet2.59I 38.61%NM 35.99%EV -5.13%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -6.61%E -2.52%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -9.06%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 05:14
Marathon Bet2.59I 38.61%NM 35.99%EV -5.13%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -6.61%E -2.52%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -9.06%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 05:15
Suprabets2.58I 38.76%NM 36.21%EV -5.49%E -2.13%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.65%EV -6.61%E -2.52%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -7.95%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 05:12
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.59%E -2.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -9.10%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -0.191%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 05:14
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.59%E -2.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 11:04
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.59%E -2.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 23:04
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.59%E -2.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 05:11
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.59%E -2.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -2.96%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 16:40
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.59%E -2.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -2.96%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 16:40
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.59%E -2.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -9.10%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 23:08
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -6.59%E -2.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 05:14
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -7.69%E -3.05%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -8.03%E -3.11%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 11:20
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -7.69%E -3.05%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -8.03%E -3.11%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 11:20
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.191%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 05:15
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 14:55
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.61%E -2.52%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 05:14
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -2.96%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 05:13
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-04 16:39
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 05:14
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 05:14
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 22:49
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 22:49
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -10.26%E -4.19%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -9.10%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 11:50
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.26%E -4.19%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -12.67%E -5.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 05:14
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.26%E -4.19%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 05:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.26%E -4.19%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 05:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.26%E -4.19%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 05:15
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.26%E -4.19%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 05:13
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -12.09%E -5.04%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -1.98%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.96%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:05
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -12.09%E -5.04%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -1.98%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.96%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:05
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -12.09%E -5.04%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 23:03
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -12.09%E -5.04%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -9.10%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -12.09%E -5.04%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -14.45%E -6.02%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.83%E -5.61%K -8.41%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-09 05:14
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.96%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 11:05
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.96%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 11:05
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.96%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 11:05
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.96%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 11:05
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.96%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 11:05
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.96%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 11:05
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.96%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 11:05
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 11:05
NetBet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 36.61%EV -13.19%E -5.56%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 35.85%EV -13.74%E -5.68%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.54%EV -12.67%E -4.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-08 23:24
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -13.92%E -5.92%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 11:05
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.85%EV -13.92%E -5.92%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.08%EV -14.45%E -6.02%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.06%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-07 23:34
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.10%EV -16.48%E -7.23%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 11:05
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.10%EV -16.48%E -7.23%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 11:05
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.00%EV -17.58%E -7.81%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.41%EV -9.10%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-02 11:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.77%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-05-09 05:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-05-09 05:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-05-09 05:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-05-09 05:14
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-05-09 02:09
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.01%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.01%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-05-09 05:14