Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eintracht Braunschweig v 1. FC Nürnberg

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 11:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eintracht Braunschweig (Local)

Prediction 34.05%2.94fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.437%
Kelly -0.666%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.35%34.11%34.06%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.662.702.9041.15%37.59%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

1. FC Nürnberg (Visit)

Prediction 39.22%2.55fair odd
EV +1.96%
Edge +0.754%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.17%39.12%39.20%40.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.402.402.6045.45%41.68%41.67%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.74%3.74fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.75%26.76%26.74%29.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.413.403.6034.72%29.29%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Eintracht Braunschweig (Local): 34.05%; 1. FC Nürnberg (Visit): 39.22%; Draw: 26.74%. For 1. FC Nürnberg (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -11.48%E -4.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV +1.96%E +0.754%K +1.23%G +0.024%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -11.48%E -4.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV +1.96%E +0.754%K +1.23%G +0.024%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:35
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:34
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:34
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:35
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:34
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:35
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 10:39
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 10:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.30%EV -3.31%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.65%EV -1.18%E -0.467%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 11:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.30%EV -3.31%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.65%EV -1.18%E -0.467%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 11:25
Pinnacle🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.35%EV -1.27%E -0.437%K -0.666%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48%EV -3.92%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.17%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 11:15
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.92%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 11:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -16.59%E -6.77%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -3.92%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 10:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -16.59%E -6.77%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -3.92%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 10:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.24%EV -17.27%E -7.11%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.24%EV -4.71%E -1.94%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -14.44%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-05 10:40
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.67%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 10:55
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -4.67%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.08%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 10:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.67%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.08%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 10:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 10:55
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 10:40
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 10:39
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 11:10
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 10:55
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 11:14
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:39
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 11:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.17%EV -7.05%E -2.58%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -6.27%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -6.95%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 11:25
Suprabets🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -5.35%E -1.93%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -6.67%E -2.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 11:06
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -6.67%E -2.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 11:25
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -4.67%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -7.84%E -3.34%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 10:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.84%E -3.34%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 10:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.84%E -3.34%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 10:55
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -7.39%E -2.72%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -7.84%E -3.34%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 10:54
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -7.39%E -2.72%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -7.84%E -3.34%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 10:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -5.08%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 10:54
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 10:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 10:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 10:39
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 10:39
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.80%E -4.12%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.76%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 10:39
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -11.48%E -4.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 10:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -14.88%E -5.95%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -22.99%E -7.98%K -12.23%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-05 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.46%E -3.98%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -11.76%E -5.23%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 10:45
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.46%E -3.98%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -11.76%E -5.23%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.80%E -4.12%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.76%E -5.23%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 10:50
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.80%E -4.12%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.76%E -5.23%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 10:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.76%E -5.23%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 11:08
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.76%E -5.23%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 11:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.24%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.69%EV -13.72%E -6.24%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-05 10:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 33.80%EV -12.50%E -4.86%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.48%EV -13.72%E -6.24%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.72%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-05 11:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.66%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%0.3%2026-04-05 11:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.66%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%0.3%2026-04-05 11:15
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 34.13%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.94%0.3%2026-04-05 11:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.18%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-04-05 11:25
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.26%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.89%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.0%2026-04-05 11:25
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%3.0%2026-04-05 11:25