La escuela de los momios

Eintracht Braunschweig v 1. FC Nürnberg

Inicio: 2026-04-05 11:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Eintracht Braunschweig (Local)

Predicción 34.05%2.94momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.437%
Kelly -0.666%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.35%34.11%34.06%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.432.662.702.9041.15%37.59%37.04%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

1. FC Nürnberg (Visitante)

Predicción 39.22%2.55momio equitativo
EV +1.96%
Ventaja +0.754%
Kelly +1.23%
Crecimiento +0.024%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.17%39.12%39.20%40.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.402.402.6045.45%41.68%41.67%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.74%3.74momio equitativo
EV -3.74%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -1.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.75%26.76%26.74%29.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.413.403.6034.72%29.29%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -11.48%E -4.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV +1.96%E +0.754%K +1.23%G +0.024%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:40
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -11.48%E -4.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV +1.96%E +0.754%K +1.23%G +0.024%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:40
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:35
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:34
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:34
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:35
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:35
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:34
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:35
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 10:39
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 10:39
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 34.30%EV -3.31%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.65%EV -1.18%E -0.467%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 11:24
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 34.30%EV -3.31%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.65%EV -1.18%E -0.467%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 11:25
Pinnacle2.90I 34.48%NM 33.35%EV -1.27%E -0.437%K -0.666%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48%EV -3.92%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.17%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 11:15
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.92%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 11:24
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -16.59%E -6.77%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -3.92%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 10:40
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -16.59%E -6.77%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -3.92%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 10:40
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 36.24%EV -17.27%E -7.11%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.24%EV -4.71%E -1.94%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -14.44%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-05 10:40
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.67%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 10:55
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -4.67%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.08%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 10:55
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.67%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:10
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.08%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 10:55
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 10:55
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 10:40
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 10:39
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 11:10
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 10:55
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 11:14
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:39
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 11:24
Marathon Bet2.73I 36.63%NM 34.17%EV -7.05%E -2.58%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -6.27%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -6.95%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 11:25
Suprabets2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -5.35%E -1.93%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -6.67%E -2.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 11:06
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -6.67%E -2.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 11:25
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -4.67%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -7.84%E -3.34%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 10:45
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.84%E -3.34%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 10:55
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.84%E -3.34%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 10:55
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -7.39%E -2.72%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -7.84%E -3.34%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 10:54
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -7.39%E -2.72%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -7.84%E -3.34%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 10:50
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -5.08%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 10:54
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 10:39
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 10:40
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 10:39
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 10:39
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.80%E -4.12%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.76%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 10:39
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -11.48%E -4.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 10:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -14.88%E -5.95%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -22.99%E -7.98%K -12.23%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-05 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.46%E -3.98%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -11.76%E -5.23%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 10:45
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.46%E -3.98%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -11.76%E -5.23%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.80%E -4.12%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.76%E -5.23%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 10:50
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.80%E -4.12%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.76%E -5.23%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 10:49
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.76%E -5.23%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 11:08
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.76%E -5.23%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 11:10
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.24%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.69%EV -13.72%E -6.24%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-05 10:54
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 33.80%EV -12.50%E -4.86%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.48%EV -13.72%E -6.24%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.72%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-05 11:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.66%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%0.3%2026-04-05 11:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.66%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%0.3%2026-04-05 11:15
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 34.13%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.94%0.3%2026-04-05 11:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.18%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-04-05 11:25
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.26%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.89%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.0%2026-04-05 11:25
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%3.0%2026-04-05 11:25