L’École des cotes

Dynamo Dresden v VfL Bochum

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 11:00 UTC

Score final : Dynamo Dresden 2–0 VfL Bochum

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dynamo Dresden (Local)

Prévision 40.88%2.45cote équitable
EV -3.52%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -2.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.73%40.85%40.90%43.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.272.282.3647.62%44.14%43.86%42.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

VfL Bochum (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.25%3.01cote équitable
EV -0.917%
Avantage -0.308%
Kelly -0.463%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.23%33.28%33.22%34.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.762.802.9839.22%36.20%35.71%33.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.87%3.87cote équitable
EV +0.118%
Avantage +0.030%
Kelly +0.041%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.54%25.87%25.88%27.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.543.503.8732.26%28.28%28.57%25.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.16%EV -10.06%E -4.57%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.30%EV -2.25%E -0.764%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.54%EV +0.118%E +0.030%K +0.041%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 10:50
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -5.24%E -1.84%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.99%E -0.796%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 10:50
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -8.56%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 10:00
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -3.58%E -1.23%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 10:49
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 10:50
Codere (IT)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.48%EV -4.75%E -2.04%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 10:01
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.82%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%EV -10.23%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 10:00
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 40.95%EV -3.52%E -1.49%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%EV -0.917%E -0.308%K -0.463%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.62%EV -6.09%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 10:50
Suprabets2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -6.79%E -2.98%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.24%EV -6.57%E -2.34%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.80%EV -6.35%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 10:47
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.22%EV -3.52%E -1.49%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.42%EV -5.57%E -1.96%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 09:59
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.22%EV -3.52%E -1.49%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.42%EV -5.57%E -1.96%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 10:00
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.24%E -1.84%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 10:49
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.24%E -1.84%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 06:59
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.24%E -1.84%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 10:50
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -4.24%E -1.47%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 10:50
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 10:50
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 10:49
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 10:50
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 10:50
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -12.89%E -4.92%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -12.89%E -4.92%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -6.79%E -2.98%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.79%EV -9.56%E -3.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:00
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -6.79%E -2.98%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.79%EV -9.56%E -3.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:00
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -4.24%E -1.47%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 10:49
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 10:50
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 10:50
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 10:50
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 10:50
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 10:50
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 10:50
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 10:50
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -6.79%E -2.98%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -6.79%E -2.98%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 10:50
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -6.79%E -2.98%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 10:50
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.56%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -13.55%E -5.21%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 10:00
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -13.55%E -5.21%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 10:01
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -13.55%E -5.21%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 10:00
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -13.55%E -5.21%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 10:00
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -12.11%E -5.63%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.23%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 10:49
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.90%EV -10.88%E -4.99%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.40%EV -11.22%E -4.20%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.70%EV -10.23%E -2.95%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 10:40
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.55%EV -12.11%E -5.63%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.19%EV -15.21%E -5.97%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -10.75%E -3.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-18 10:00
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 10:50
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.06%E -4.57%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.56%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 10:50
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -10.06%E -4.57%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -10.23%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -13.33%E -3.98%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 10:50
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -10.06%E -4.57%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -10.23%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -13.33%E -3.98%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 10:50
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.43%EV -10.88%E -4.99%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -11.89%E -4.49%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -13.33%E -3.98%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 10:50
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.06%E -4.57%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.23%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -14.63%E -4.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-18 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.24%EV -14.15%E -6.74%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.50%EV -13.55%E -5.21%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.26%EV -19.80%E -6.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%18.3%2026-04-18 10:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-04-18 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.78%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-04-18 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.78%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-04-18 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.78%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-04-18 10:50
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.75%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.43%2.3%2026-04-18 10:50