La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Dynamo Dresden v VfL Bochum
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dynamo Dresden (Local)
Predicción 40.88%2.45momio equitativo
EV -3.52%
Ventaja -1.49%
Kelly -2.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.73%40.85%40.90%43.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.272.282.3647.62%44.14%43.86%42.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
VfL Bochum (Visitante)
Predicción 33.25%3.01momio equitativo
EV -0.917%
Ventaja -0.308%
Kelly -0.463%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.23%33.28%33.22%34.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.762.802.9839.22%36.20%35.71%33.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.87%3.87momio equitativo
EV +0.118%
Ventaja +0.030%
Kelly +0.041%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.54%25.87%25.88%27.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.543.503.8732.26%28.28%28.57%25.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.16%EV -10.06%E -4.57%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.30%EV -2.25%E -0.764%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.54%EV +0.118%E +0.030%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -5.24%E -1.84%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.99%E -0.796%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -8.56%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 10:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -3.58%E -1.23%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.48%EV -4.75%E -2.04%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 10:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.82%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%EV -10.23%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 10:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.95%EV -3.52%E -1.49%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%EV -0.917%E -0.308%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.62%EV -6.09%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Suprabets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -6.79%E -2.98%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.24%EV -6.57%E -2.34%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.80%EV -6.35%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 10:47 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.22%EV -3.52%E -1.49%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.42%EV -5.57%E -1.96%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 09:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.22%EV -3.52%E -1.49%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.42%EV -5.57%E -1.96%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 10:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.24%E -1.84%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.24%E -1.84%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 06:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.24%E -1.84%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -4.24%E -1.47%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -12.89%E -4.92%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 10:00 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -12.89%E -4.92%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 10:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -6.79%E -2.98%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.79%EV -9.56%E -3.52%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 10:00 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -6.79%E -2.98%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.79%EV -9.56%E -3.52%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 10:00 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -4.24%E -1.47%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -6.79%E -2.98%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -6.79%E -2.98%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -6.79%E -2.98%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.56%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -13.55%E -5.21%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 10:00 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -13.55%E -5.21%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 10:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -13.55%E -5.21%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 10:00 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -13.55%E -5.21%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 10:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -12.11%E -5.63%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.23%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.90%EV -10.88%E -4.99%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.40%EV -11.22%E -4.20%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.70%EV -10.23%E -2.95%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 10:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.55%EV -12.11%E -5.63%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.19%EV -15.21%E -5.97%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -10.75%E -3.12%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-18 10:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.06%E -4.57%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.56%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -10.06%E -4.57%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -10.23%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -13.33%E -3.98%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -10.06%E -4.57%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -10.23%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -13.33%E -3.98%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.43%EV -10.88%E -4.99%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -11.89%E -4.49%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -13.33%E -3.98%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.06%E -4.57%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.23%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -14.63%E -4.43%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.24%EV -14.15%E -6.74%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.50%EV -13.55%E -5.21%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.26%EV -19.80%E -6.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.78% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.78% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.78% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.75% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.82% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.43% | 2.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |