Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dynamo Dresden v SV Darmstadt 98

Início: 2026-08-16 11:30 UTC

Final: Dynamo Dresden 1–0 SV Darmstadt 98

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dynamo Dresden (Local)

Previsão 47.08%2.12odd justa
EV -3.49%
Vantagem -1.70%
Kelly -3.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.81%47.09%47.14%48.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.881.961.952.0553.19%51.08%51.28%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

SV Darmstadt 98 (Visitante)

Previsão 27.36%3.66odd justa
EV -0.960%
Vantagem -0.265%
Kelly -0.366%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.18%27.35%27.35%28.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.363.383.6231.25%29.74%29.63%27.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.56%3.91odd justa
EV -1.58%
Vantagem -0.411%
Kelly -0.555%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.65%25.56%25.50%26.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.603.603.8529.41%27.81%27.78%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Dynamo Dresden (Local): 47.08%; SV Darmstadt 98 (Visitante): 27.36%; Empate: 25.56%. Para SV Darmstadt 98 (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.66. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.62, com valor esperado de -0.960%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.71%EV -0.960%E -0.265%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.13%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 11:25
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.05%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.85%EV -3.15%E -0.890%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.11%EV -6.95%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 11:20
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -2.88%E -0.810%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -2.88%E -0.810%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 11:20
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -1.58%E -0.411%K -0.555%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 10:29
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.24%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 11:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.16%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.61%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 11:20
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.16%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.61%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 11:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 11:18
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 11:25
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 11:24
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 11:19
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.35%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -2.86%E -0.752%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 11:20
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.24%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 11:20
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 15:14
Suprabets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.18%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.61%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.74%EV -7.21%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 11:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.12%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.96%EV -5.34%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -7.26%E -3.68%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -7.26%E -3.68%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 15:15
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -7.26%E -3.68%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 15:14
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -7.26%E -3.68%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 15:14
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -7.26%E -3.68%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 15:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -7.26%E -3.68%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 15:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -7.26%E -3.68%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 15:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.51%E -0.419%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 10:14
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 11:23
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 11:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 11:14
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 11:23
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 11:19
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 11:19
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 11:19
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 11:19
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 11:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 11:15
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 11:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 11:24
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 11:25
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.41%EV -9.61%E -5.01%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.42%EV -8.48%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 11:20
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -9.61%E -5.01%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 10:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -10.08%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.24%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 10:40
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.08%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 11:19
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.04%EV -10.08%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 10:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.04%EV -10.08%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 10:49
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.08%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 11:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.14%EV -10.55%E -5.55%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 11:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.70%EV -11.02%E -5.83%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 11:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.07%EV -11.49%E -6.11%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 10:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.07%EV -11.49%E -6.11%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 10:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.07%EV -11.49%E -6.11%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 10:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -11.49%E -6.11%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-16 11:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-08-16 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-08-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-08-16 11:25
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-08-16 11:25
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-08-16 11:25
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-08-16 09:55