Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.62
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Dynamo Dresden (Local): 47.08%; SV Darmstadt 98 (Visitante): 27.36%; Empate: 25.56%. Para SV Darmstadt 98 (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.66. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.62, con un valor esperado de -0.960%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.71%EV -0.960%E -0.265%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.13%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.05%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.85%EV -3.15%E -0.890%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.11%EV -6.95%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 11:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -2.88%E -0.810%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -2.88%E -0.810%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 11:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -1.58%E -0.411%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 10:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.24%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 11:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.16%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.61%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 11:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.16%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.61%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 11:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 11:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 11:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 11:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.35%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -2.86%E -0.752%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 11:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.24%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 11:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 15:14 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.18%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.61%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.74%EV -7.21%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 11:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.12%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.96%EV -5.34%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -7.26%E -3.68%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -7.26%E -3.68%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 15:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -7.26%E -3.68%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 15:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -7.26%E -3.68%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 15:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -7.26%E -3.68%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 15:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -7.26%E -3.68%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 15:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -7.26%E -3.68%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 15:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.51%E -0.419%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 10:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 11:23 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 11:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 11:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 11:23 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 11:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 11:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 11:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 11:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 11:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 11:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 11:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.41%EV -9.61%E -5.01%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.42%EV -8.48%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 11:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -9.61%E -5.01%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 10:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -10.08%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.24%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 10:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.08%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 11:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.04%EV -10.08%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-16 10:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.04%EV -10.08%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-16 10:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.08%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.14%EV -10.55%E -5.55%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-16 11:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.70%EV -11.02%E -5.83%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 11:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.07%EV -11.49%E -6.11%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-16 10:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.07%EV -11.49%E -6.11%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-16 10:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.07%EV -11.49%E -6.11%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-16 10:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -11.49%E -6.11%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-16 11:19 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 09:55 |