Школа коэффициентов

Dynamo Dresden v Holstein Kiel

Начало: 2026-05-17 13:30 UTC

Итог: Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

57 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Dynamo Dresden (Хозяева)

Прогноз 55.27%1.81справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.82%
Преимущество -2.20%
Kelly -5.16%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.74

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
53.15%55.33%55.23%57.04%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.571.671.681.7463.69%59.82%59.52%57.47%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Holstein Kiel (Гости)

Прогноз 21.19%4.72справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.83%
Преимущество +0.781%
Kelly +0.982%
Рост +0.038%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.90

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.33%21.04%21.25%22.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.954.354.354.9025.32%23.01%22.99%20.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 23.54%4.25справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.15%
Преимущество -0.274%
Kelly -0.360%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.49%23.63%23.52%25.32%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.403.913.954.2029.41%25.60%25.32%23.81%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.04%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.44%EV +3.83%E +0.781%K +0.982%G +0.038%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.52%EV -4.68%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 10:40
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV +3.83%E +0.781%K +0.982%G +0.038%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -8.21%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 10:39
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV +3.83%E +0.781%K +0.982%G +0.038%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -8.21%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 10:39
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -6.59%E -3.90%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV +0.650%E +0.137%K +0.173%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.12%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.54%EV -1.04%E -0.224%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.34%EV -7.27%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -2.53%E -0.550%K -0.702%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -3.50%E -0.855%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 08:10
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -5.48%E -3.20%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:40
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.16%EV -5.48%E -3.20%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Suprabets1.70I 58.82%NM 55.00%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.22%EV -9.15%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:35
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 08:06
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:38
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -8.24%E -4.97%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:40
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 22:40
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 22:40
Codere (IT)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.06%EV -5.48%E -3.20%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -6.77%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -6.77%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 13:35
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -6.77%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -3.50%E -0.855%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 11:14
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -6.77%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -3.50%E -0.855%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 11:14
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.77%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -5.48%E -3.20%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.77%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:40
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.17%EV -4.37%E -2.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.49%EV -7.61%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.36%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.83%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 11:14
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.36%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.83%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 11:15
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.36%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.83%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 11:14
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.36%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.83%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 11:15
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.36%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.83%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 11:14
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.36%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.83%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 11:14
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.36%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.83%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 11:14
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.83%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.83%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:40
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.16%EV -6.59%E -3.90%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -8.25%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 11:34
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -8.25%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 06:30
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -8.25%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 10:40
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -8.25%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 10:39
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.45%E -6.45%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -8.25%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 10:39
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.88%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -1.15%E -0.274%K -0.360%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:39
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.88%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-12 11:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.88%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-12 11:14
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 55.52%EV -8.24%E -4.97%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.88%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 11:14
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.75%EV -9.90%E -6.07%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -8.88%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.12%EV -7.51%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 10:40
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.59%E -3.90%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.94%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:00
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -4.93%E -2.86%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.94%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 08:00
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -11.00%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -11.00%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -3.50%E -0.855%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:00
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.00%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 11:00
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.51%EV -11.01%E -6.84%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.00%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.21%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 11:15
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.51%EV -11.01%E -6.84%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.00%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.21%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 11:14
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -10.45%E -6.45%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -11.00%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 10:40
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.68%EV -13.22%E -8.42%K -23.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.32%EV -13.12%E -3.20%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.00%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-12 11:15
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 54.82%EV -12.67%E -8.02%K -21.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.12%EV -13.12%E -3.20%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -15.27%E -4.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-17 08:10
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.72%EV -11.56%E -7.23%K -19.27%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.62%EV -14.18%E -3.50%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.66%EV -12.92%E -3.49%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.98%EV -8.80%E -5.33%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -15.24%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.98%EV -8.80%E -5.33%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -15.24%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 53.98%EV -8.80%E -5.33%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -15.24%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 53.98%EV -8.80%E -5.33%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -15.24%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.15%EV -10.45%E -6.45%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -15.24%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.32%EV -19.98%E -5.88%K -8.32%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-17 10:39
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.45%EV -10.45%E -6.45%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.33%EV -16.30%E -4.13%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-05-17 08:06
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-05-17 08:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-05-17 08:10
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%1.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%2.1%2026-05-17 04:05
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.04%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.6%2026-05-17 10:40