Die Schule der Quoten

Dynamo Dresden v Holstein Kiel

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-17 13:30 UTC

Endstand: Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

57 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Dynamo Dresden (Heim)

Prognose 55.27%1.81faire Quote
EV -3.82%
Vorteil -2.20%
Kelly -5.16%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.74

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
53.15%55.33%55.23%57.04%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.571.671.681.7463.69%59.82%59.52%57.47%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Holstein Kiel (Auswärts)

Prognose 21.19%4.72faire Quote
EV +3.83%
Vorteil +0.781%
Kelly +0.982%
Wachstum +0.038%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.33%21.04%21.25%22.33%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.954.354.354.9025.32%23.01%22.99%20.41%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 23.54%4.25faire Quote
EV -1.15%
Vorteil -0.274%
Kelly -0.360%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.49%23.63%23.52%25.32%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.403.913.954.2029.41%25.60%25.32%23.81%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (57 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.04%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.44%EV +3.83%E +0.781%K +0.982%G +0.038%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.52%EV -4.68%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 10:40
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV +3.83%E +0.781%K +0.982%G +0.038%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -8.21%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 10:39
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV +3.83%E +0.781%K +0.982%G +0.038%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -8.21%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 10:39
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -6.59%E -3.90%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV +0.650%E +0.137%K +0.173%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.12%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.54%EV -1.04%E -0.224%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.34%EV -7.27%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -2.53%E -0.550%K -0.702%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -3.50%E -0.855%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 08:10
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -5.48%E -3.20%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:40
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.16%EV -5.48%E -3.20%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Suprabets1.70I 58.82%NM 55.00%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.22%EV -9.15%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:35
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 08:06
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:38
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -8.24%E -4.97%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:40
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 22:40
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 22:40
Codere (IT)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.06%EV -5.48%E -3.20%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -6.77%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -6.77%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 13:35
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -6.77%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -3.50%E -0.855%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 11:14
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -6.77%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -3.50%E -0.855%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 11:14
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.77%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -5.48%E -3.20%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.77%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:40
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.17%EV -4.37%E -2.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.49%EV -7.61%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.36%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.83%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 11:14
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.36%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.83%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 11:15
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.36%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.83%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 11:14
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.36%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.83%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 11:15
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.36%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.83%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 11:14
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.36%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.83%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 11:14
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.36%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.83%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 11:14
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.83%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.83%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:40
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.16%EV -6.59%E -3.90%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -8.25%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 11:34
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -8.25%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 06:30
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -8.25%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 10:40
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -8.25%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 10:39
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.45%E -6.45%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -8.25%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 10:39
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.88%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -1.15%E -0.274%K -0.360%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:39
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.88%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-12 11:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.88%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-12 11:14
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 55.52%EV -8.24%E -4.97%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.88%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 11:14
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.75%EV -9.90%E -6.07%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -8.88%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.12%EV -7.51%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 10:40
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.59%E -3.90%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.94%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:00
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -4.93%E -2.86%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.94%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 08:00
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -11.00%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -11.00%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -3.50%E -0.855%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:00
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.00%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 11:00
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.51%EV -11.01%E -6.84%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.00%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.21%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 11:15
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.51%EV -11.01%E -6.84%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.00%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.21%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 11:14
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -10.45%E -6.45%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -11.00%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 10:40
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.68%EV -13.22%E -8.42%K -23.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.32%EV -13.12%E -3.20%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.00%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-12 11:15
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 54.82%EV -12.67%E -8.02%K -21.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.12%EV -13.12%E -3.20%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -15.27%E -4.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-17 08:10
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.72%EV -11.56%E -7.23%K -19.27%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.62%EV -14.18%E -3.50%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.66%EV -12.92%E -3.49%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.98%EV -8.80%E -5.33%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -15.24%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.98%EV -8.80%E -5.33%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -15.24%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 53.98%EV -8.80%E -5.33%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -15.24%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 53.98%EV -8.80%E -5.33%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -15.24%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.15%EV -10.45%E -6.45%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -15.24%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.32%EV -19.98%E -5.88%K -8.32%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-17 10:39
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.45%EV -10.45%E -6.45%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.33%EV -16.30%E -4.13%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-05-17 08:06
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-05-17 08:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-05-17 08:10
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%1.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%2.1%2026-05-17 04:05
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.04%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.6%2026-05-17 10:40