L’École des cotes

Dynamo Dresden v 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 11:00 UTC

Score final : Dynamo Dresden 1–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dynamo Dresden (Local)

Prévision 59.65%1.68cote équitable
EV -0.976%
Avantage -0.588%
Kelly -1.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.51%59.44%59.66%60.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.571.571.6668.97%63.54%63.69%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.47%5.41cote équitable
EV +0.107%
Avantage +0.020%
Kelly +0.024%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.49%18.59%18.46%20.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.824.805.4223.26%20.75%20.83%18.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.88%4.57cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -0.345%
Kelly -0.444%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.86%21.97%21.88%24.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.114.104.5028.57%24.30%24.39%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.34%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.81%EV +0.107%E +0.020%K +0.024%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.84%EV -3.30%E -0.747%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 10:45
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -6.94%E -4.45%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -0.262%E -0.049%K -0.060%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 10:39
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -6.94%E -4.45%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -0.262%E -0.049%K -0.060%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 10:40
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.64%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -3.03%E -0.578%K -0.714%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 10:50
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.03%E -0.578%K -0.714%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 10:50
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -6.94%E -4.45%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -3.03%E -0.578%K -0.714%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 10:55
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -7.54%E -4.86%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -3.03%E -0.578%K -0.714%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -8.12%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 10:55
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -8.73%E -5.71%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -3.03%E -0.578%K -0.714%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -5.27%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 10:54
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -7.54%E -4.86%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -3.03%E -0.578%K -0.714%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 10:45
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.45%EV -8.13%E -5.28%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.90%EV -3.96%E -0.761%K -0.942%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 10:50
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -7.54%E -4.86%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -4.88%E -0.948%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 10:50
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.63%EV -3.36%E -2.08%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.92%EV -7.28%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.45%EV -7.46%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 10:55
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -1.55%E -0.345%K -0.444%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 10:50
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.55%EV -5.75%E -3.64%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.63%EV -4.83%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 10:50
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.40%EV -5.75%E -3.64%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 10:50
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 58.94%EV -5.15%E -3.24%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.12%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 10:45
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.54%E -4.86%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.12%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 10:51
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.54%E -4.86%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.12%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 10:51
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.54%E -4.86%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.12%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 10:45
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 10:50
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 10:50
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 10:45
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 10:45
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 10:45
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.54%E -4.86%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 10:55
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.60%EV -7.54%E -4.86%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -8.57%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 10:50
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.60%EV -7.54%E -4.86%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -8.57%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 10:50
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -3.36%E -2.08%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -11.34%E -2.36%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -8.12%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 10:40
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.58%EV -10.52%E -7.01%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -11.34%E -2.36%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 10:50
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.83%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -12.27%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 10:50
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.15%EV -9.92%E -6.57%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.80%EV -12.27%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.05%EV -11.40%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 10:55
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -10.52%E -7.01%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -12.27%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 10:51
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -8.13%E -5.28%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -13.19%E -2.81%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -3.74%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 10:50
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 59.68%EV -13.50%E -9.31%K -30.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.41%EV -13.19%E -2.81%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.91%EV -13.59%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-02 10:55
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.63%EV -0.976%E -0.588%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -15.04%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 10:20
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 56.63%EV -0.976%E -0.588%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -15.04%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 10:20
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -8.73%E -5.71%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -15.04%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.68%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 10:45
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.68%EV -2.17%E -1.32%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -16.89%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 10:20
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.68%EV -2.17%E -1.32%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -16.89%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 10:20
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 56.68%EV -2.17%E -1.32%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -16.89%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 10:20
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.68%EV -2.17%E -1.32%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -16.89%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 10:20
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.68%EV -2.17%E -1.32%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -16.89%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 10:20
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.68%EV -2.17%E -1.32%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -16.89%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 10:20
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 56.68%EV -2.17%E -1.32%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -16.89%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 10:20
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -2.77%E -1.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -16.89%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -2.77%E -1.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -16.89%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 10:20
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -3.36%E -2.08%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -16.89%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -16.89%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -14.68%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -16.89%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -14.68%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 10:35
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -16.89%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -14.68%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 10:35
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -16.89%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -14.68%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 10:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -10.52%E -7.01%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -16.89%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -23.43%E -6.69%K -9.37%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-02 10:51
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.59%EV -10.52%E -7.01%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -18.73%E -4.26%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-02 10:51
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.71%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.47%EV -19.66%E -4.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.68%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-02 10:20
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.71%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.47%EV -19.66%E -4.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.68%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-02 10:20
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.72%EV -7.54%E -4.86%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.45%EV -20.58%E -4.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.84%EV -15.77%E -4.10%K -5.53%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-02 10:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-05-02 10:55
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-05-02 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.49%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-05-02 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.49%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-05-02 10:55
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.44%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.80%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.76%2.1%2026-05-02 10:55
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.24%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32%3.1%2026-05-02 10:55