Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.10
assuming max odds 3.79
assuming max odds 3.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arminia Bielefeld (Local): 47.94%; VfL Bochum (Visit): 26.87%; Draw: 25.19%. For VfL Bochum (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.83%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.51%EV -6.04%E -3.08%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.08%EV +1.83%E +0.483%K +0.656%G +0.012% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.04%EV -0.318%E -0.086%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.16%EV -3.26%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.66%EV -8.92%E -4.69%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -0.587%E -0.159%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.27%E -0.909%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.27%E -0.909%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.27%E -0.909%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 10:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.27%E -0.909%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 10:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -3.27%E -0.909%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 10:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -3.01%E -0.781%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 10:43 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.89%EV -5.56%E -2.82%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 10:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 10:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 10:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -7.48%E -3.87%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 10:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 10:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.30%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 10:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 10:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 10:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -14.34%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 10:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.96%EV -7.96%E -4.14%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.23%EV -11.31%E -6.12%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.91%EV -10.83%E -5.82%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.84%EV -10.80%E -3.25%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.25%EV -11.07%E -3.14%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.04%EV -13.23%E -7.31%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.20%EV -13.09%E -3.79%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-02 10:51 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.44%EV -12.27%E -6.71%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.15%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.41%EV -21.90%E -7.07%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-05-02 09:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV +0.672%E +0.320%K +0.611%G +0.004% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 10:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV +0.672%E +0.320%K +0.611%G +0.004% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 10:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.34%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.34%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.34%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.34%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -0.766%E -0.370%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -15.36%E -4.88%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 10:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -0.766%E -0.370%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -15.36%E -4.88%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 10:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -0.766%E -0.370%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -15.36%E -4.88%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 10:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -0.766%E -0.370%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -15.36%E -4.88%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 10:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -0.766%E -0.370%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -15.36%E -4.88%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 10:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -0.766%E -0.370%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -15.36%E -4.88%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 10:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -0.766%E -0.370%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -15.36%E -4.88%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 10:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -1.25%E -0.605%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -15.36%E -4.88%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 10:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -1.25%E -0.605%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -15.36%E -4.88%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 10:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.29%EV -10.83%E -5.82%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.93%EV -15.36%E -4.88%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -1.73%E -0.842%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -16.71%E -5.39%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 10:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.76%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -19.39%E -6.46%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -13.09%E -3.79%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-02 10:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.76%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -19.39%E -6.46%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -13.09%E -3.79%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-02 10:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.14%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -19.39%E -6.46%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -13.09%E -3.79%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-02 10:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.39% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98% | 1.3% | 2026-05-02 10:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77% | 2.1% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |