مدرسة الاحتمالات

Arminia Bielefeld v VfL Bochum

البداية: 2026-05-02 11:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 VfL Bochum

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Arminia Bielefeld (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.94%2.09السعر العادل
EV +0.672%
الأفضلية +0.320%
Kelly +0.611%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.76%47.86%47.96%49.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.811.961.952.1055.25%50.96%51.28%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

VfL Bochum (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.87%3.72السعر العادل
EV +1.83%
الأفضلية +0.483%
Kelly +0.656%
النمو +0.012%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.79

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.08%26.91%26.88%29.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.363.403.7933.33%29.78%29.41%26.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.19%3.97السعر العادل
EV -3.01%
الأفضلية -0.781%
Kelly -1.06%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.55%25.23%25.16%27.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.613.653.8532.26%27.72%27.40%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.51%EV -6.04%E -3.08%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.08%EV +1.83%E +0.483%K +0.656%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 10:55
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.04%EV -0.318%E -0.086%K -0.117%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.16%EV -3.26%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-02 10:45
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.66%EV -8.92%E -4.69%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -0.587%E -0.159%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 10:45
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.27%E -0.909%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 10:45
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.27%E -0.909%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 10:45
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.27%E -0.909%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 10:40
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.27%E -0.909%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 10:39
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -3.27%E -0.909%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 10:40
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -3.01%E -0.781%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 10:43
Codere (IT)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.89%EV -5.56%E -2.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 10:45
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 10:45
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 10:45
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 10:20
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 10:40
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 10:50
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -7.48%E -3.87%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 10:54
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 10:39
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 10:55
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 10:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 10:55
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 10:55
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.30%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 10:45
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 10:29
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 10:45
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 10:45
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 10:45
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 10:44
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 10:45
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 10:40
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -14.34%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 10:40
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 10:45
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.96%EV -7.96%E -4.14%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 10:45
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.23%EV -11.31%E -6.12%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 10:45
Betclic (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.91%EV -10.83%E -5.82%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.84%EV -10.80%E -3.25%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.25%EV -11.07%E -3.14%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 10:45
NetBet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.04%EV -13.23%E -7.31%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.20%EV -13.09%E -3.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-02 10:51
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.44%EV -12.27%E -6.71%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.15%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.41%EV -21.90%E -7.07%K -10.43%G +0.000%17.7%2026-05-02 09:55
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV +0.672%E +0.320%K +0.611%G +0.004%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 10:25
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV +0.672%E +0.320%K +0.611%G +0.004%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 10:25
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.34%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.34%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.34%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 10:30
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.34%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 10:30
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -0.766%E -0.370%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -15.36%E -4.88%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 10:25
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -0.766%E -0.370%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -15.36%E -4.88%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 10:25
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -0.766%E -0.370%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -15.36%E -4.88%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 10:25
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -0.766%E -0.370%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -15.36%E -4.88%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 10:25
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -0.766%E -0.370%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -15.36%E -4.88%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 10:25
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -0.766%E -0.370%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -15.36%E -4.88%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 10:25
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -0.766%E -0.370%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -15.36%E -4.88%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 10:25
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -1.25%E -0.605%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -15.36%E -4.88%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -1.25%E -0.605%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -15.36%E -4.88%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 10:20
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.29%EV -10.83%E -5.82%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.93%EV -15.36%E -4.88%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-02 10:45
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -1.73%E -0.842%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -16.71%E -5.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:25
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 44.76%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -19.39%E -6.46%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -13.09%E -3.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 10:24
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 44.76%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -19.39%E -6.46%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -13.09%E -3.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 10:25
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.14%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -19.39%E -6.46%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -13.09%E -3.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-02 10:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-05-02 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-05-02 10:55
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-05-02 10:55
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-05-02 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98%1.3%2026-05-02 10:40
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%2.1%2026-05-02 10:55