La scuola delle quote

Arminia Bielefeld v SC Paderborn

Inizio: 2026-03-14 12:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Arminia Bielefeld (Casa)

Previsione 34.36%2.91quota equa
EV -0.367%
Vantaggio -0.127%
Kelly -0.193%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.76%34.26%34.30%35.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.712.702.9041.67%36.86%37.04%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

SC Paderborn (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.51%2.60quota equa
EV -1.02%
Vantaggio -0.399%
Kelly -0.653%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.22%38.52%38.53%40.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.362.402.5746.51%42.30%41.67%38.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.13%3.69quota equa
EV -2.33%
Vantaggio -0.646%
Kelly -0.894%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.81%27.22%27.17%29.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.413.403.6033.33%29.30%29.41%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.26%EV -0.367%E -0.127%K -0.193%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.68%EV -1.41%E -0.551%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%EV -9.92%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 04:45
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.26%EV -0.367%E -0.127%K -0.193%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.68%EV -1.41%E -0.551%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%EV -9.92%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 04:44
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -2.08%E -0.732%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 06:05
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -2.08%E -0.732%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 06:05
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -2.08%E -0.732%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -12.19%E -5.35%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 06:05
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -2.08%E -0.732%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -12.19%E -5.35%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 06:00
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -2.08%E -0.732%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -12.19%E -5.35%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 06:00
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -2.08%E -0.732%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -12.19%E -5.35%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 06:05
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -2.08%E -0.732%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -12.19%E -5.35%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 06:05
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -2.08%E -0.732%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -12.19%E -5.35%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 06:05
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -2.08%E -0.732%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -12.19%E -5.35%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 06:05
Pinnacle2.82I 35.46%NM 34.34%EV -3.12%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.68%EV -1.02%E -0.399%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.99%EV -6.12%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 05:49
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -3.72%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 06:15
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -13.35%E -5.93%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 06:00
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -13.35%E -5.93%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 06:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -13.35%E -5.93%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 06:04
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -2.33%E -0.646%K -0.894%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 04:50
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 22:04
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 22:00
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 22:00
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 04:44
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 04:10
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 04:09
Suprabets2.74I 36.50%NM 34.10%EV -5.86%E -2.14%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.83%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.06%EV -9.65%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 04:10
Marathon Bet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -6.55%E -2.41%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.90%EV -5.26%E -2.14%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 06:09
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -2.33%E -0.646%K -0.894%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 21:20
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 06:07
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -2.33%E -0.646%K -0.894%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 04:48
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 04:48
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 02:35
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 22:05
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 04:44
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 04:44
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 04:54
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 04:55
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.84%EV -16.04%E -7.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-14 06:04
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.84%EV -16.04%E -7.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-14 06:05
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 34.67%EV -7.58%E -2.82%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.06%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -7.21%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 05:20
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.42%EV -7.93%E -2.96%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 22:04
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.42%EV -7.93%E -2.96%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 22:04
Betclic (FR)2.68I 37.31%NM 33.86%EV -7.93%E -2.96%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 00:08
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 05:40
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 05:39
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.50%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 22:04
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.33%E -0.646%K -0.894%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 08:59
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 04:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-13 21:20
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-13 21:19
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-13 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-13 21:20
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -13.35%E -5.93%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-14 00:15
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 34.39%EV -13.42%E -5.33%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.52%EV -13.35%E -5.93%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-13 22:30
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -14.11%E -5.64%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-14 04:49
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -14.11%E -5.64%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -13.35%E -5.93%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-13 22:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -14.11%E -5.64%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -18.60%E -6.20%K -9.30%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-11 18:30
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.03%EV -17.55%E -7.31%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.10%EV -17.20%E -8.00%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.87%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-14 04:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-03-14 04:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-03-14 04:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-03-14 04:45
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-03-14 04:10
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71%1.1%2026-03-14 05:50
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.29%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-03-14 05:03