L’École des cotes

Arminia Bielefeld v SC Paderborn

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Arminia Bielefeld (Local)

Prévision 34.36%2.91cote équitable
EV -0.367%
Avantage -0.127%
Kelly -0.193%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.76%34.26%34.30%35.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.712.702.9041.67%36.86%37.04%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SC Paderborn (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.51%2.60cote équitable
EV -1.02%
Avantage -0.399%
Kelly -0.653%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.22%38.52%38.53%40.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.362.402.5746.51%42.30%41.67%38.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.13%3.69cote équitable
EV -2.33%
Avantage -0.646%
Kelly -0.894%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.81%27.22%27.17%29.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.413.403.6033.33%29.30%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.26%EV -0.367%E -0.127%K -0.193%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.68%EV -1.41%E -0.551%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%EV -9.92%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 04:45
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.26%EV -0.367%E -0.127%K -0.193%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.68%EV -1.41%E -0.551%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%EV -9.92%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 04:44
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -2.08%E -0.732%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 06:05
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -2.08%E -0.732%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 06:05
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -2.08%E -0.732%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -12.19%E -5.35%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 06:05
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -2.08%E -0.732%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -12.19%E -5.35%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 06:00
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -2.08%E -0.732%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -12.19%E -5.35%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 06:00
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -2.08%E -0.732%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -12.19%E -5.35%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 06:05
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -2.08%E -0.732%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -12.19%E -5.35%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 06:05
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -2.08%E -0.732%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -12.19%E -5.35%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 06:05
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -2.08%E -0.732%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -12.19%E -5.35%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 06:05
Pinnacle2.82I 35.46%NM 34.34%EV -3.12%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.68%EV -1.02%E -0.399%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.99%EV -6.12%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 05:49
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -3.72%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 06:15
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -13.35%E -5.93%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 06:00
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -13.35%E -5.93%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 06:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -13.35%E -5.93%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 06:04
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -2.33%E -0.646%K -0.894%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 04:50
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 22:04
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 22:00
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 22:00
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 04:44
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 04:10
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 04:09
Suprabets2.74I 36.50%NM 34.10%EV -5.86%E -2.14%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.83%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.06%EV -9.65%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 04:10
Marathon Bet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -6.55%E -2.41%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.90%EV -5.26%E -2.14%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 06:09
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -2.33%E -0.646%K -0.894%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 21:20
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 06:07
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -2.33%E -0.646%K -0.894%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 04:48
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 04:48
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 02:35
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 22:05
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 04:44
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 04:44
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 04:54
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 04:55
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.84%EV -16.04%E -7.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-14 06:04
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.84%EV -16.04%E -7.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-14 06:05
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 34.67%EV -7.58%E -2.82%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.06%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -7.21%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 05:20
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.42%EV -7.93%E -2.96%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 22:04
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.42%EV -7.93%E -2.96%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 22:04
Betclic (FR)2.68I 37.31%NM 33.86%EV -7.93%E -2.96%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 00:08
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 05:40
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 05:39
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.50%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 22:04
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.33%E -0.646%K -0.894%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 08:59
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 04:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-13 21:20
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-13 21:19
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-13 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-13 21:20
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -13.35%E -5.93%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-14 00:15
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 34.39%EV -13.42%E -5.33%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.52%EV -13.35%E -5.93%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-13 22:30
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -14.11%E -5.64%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-14 04:49
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -14.11%E -5.64%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -13.35%E -5.93%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-13 22:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -14.11%E -5.64%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -18.60%E -6.20%K -9.30%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-11 18:30
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.03%EV -17.55%E -7.31%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.10%EV -17.20%E -8.00%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.87%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-14 04:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-03-14 04:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-03-14 04:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-03-14 04:45
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-03-14 04:10
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71%1.1%2026-03-14 05:50
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.29%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-03-14 05:03