Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Arminia Bielefeld v FC Energie Cottbus

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 11:30 UTC

Score final : Arminia Bielefeld 3–0 FC Energie Cottbus

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Arminia Bielefeld (Local)

Prévision 59.00%1.69cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -1.97%
Kelly -5.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.37%58.94%59.02%60.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.581.571.6466.67%63.30%63.69%60.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

FC Energie Cottbus (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.01%5.26cote équitable
EV +0.754%
Avantage +0.142%
Kelly +0.175%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.53%19.06%19.02%20.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.354.784.805.3022.99%20.90%20.83%18.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.99%4.55cote équitable
EV -1.06%
Avantage -0.235%
Kelly -0.302%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.18%22.00%21.96%23.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.144.134.5025.97%24.18%24.24%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Arminia Bielefeld (Local) : 59.00% ; FC Energie Cottbus (Visiteur) : 19.01% ; Match nul : 21.99%. Pour FC Energie Cottbus (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.26. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.30, soit une espérance positive de +0.754%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -7.96%E -5.10%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV +0.754%E +0.142%K +0.175%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 11:20
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.34%EV -9.14%E -5.93%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV +0.754%E +0.142%K +0.175%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 11:20
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.15%EV -6.78%E -4.29%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.00%EV +0.373%E +0.071%K +0.087%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.85%EV -4.35%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 11:24
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.53%EV -6.78%E -4.29%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.197%E -0.038%K -0.046%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.25%EV -1.06%E -0.235%K -0.302%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 11:24
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.55%EV -4.42%E -2.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.52%EV -0.957%E -0.184%K -0.227%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.93%EV -3.26%E -0.740%K -0.957%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-16 11:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -7.96%E -5.10%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -1.15%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 11:25
Suprabets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.77%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -3.05%E -0.598%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 11:04
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.04%EV -5.01%E -3.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 11:05
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.95%EV -5.01%E -3.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 11:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -5.60%E -3.50%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -6.55%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 10:29
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.19%E -3.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 11:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 10:45
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -8.55%E -5.51%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 11:24
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -8.55%E -5.51%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 11:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -7.96%E -5.10%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.55%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 11:24
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -9.73%E -6.36%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 11:25
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.73%E -6.36%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 11:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.17%EV -3.24%E -1.97%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.39%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.55%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.17%EV -3.24%E -1.97%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.39%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.55%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 11:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -5.60%E -3.50%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -6.85%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 10:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -8.55%E -5.51%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.85%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.55%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 11:24
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.71%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -6.85%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 11:23
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.44%EV -6.78%E -4.29%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -7.80%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 11:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.93%EV -5.60%E -3.50%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.26%E -0.740%K -0.957%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 11:24
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 10:34
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 11:04
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 11:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 11:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 11:04
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -9.73%E -6.36%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.25%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -6.78%E -4.29%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -3.26%E -0.740%K -0.957%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 10:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.71%EV -8.55%E -5.51%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.93%EV -8.75%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 11:03
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.71%EV -8.55%E -5.51%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.93%EV -8.75%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 10:29
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.71%EV -8.55%E -5.51%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.93%EV -8.75%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 10:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.18%EV -10.32%E -6.79%K -19.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.68%EV -8.75%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-16 11:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.86%EV -11.50%E -7.66%K -22.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.79%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -13.15%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-16 11:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -3.24%E -1.97%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 11:04
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -3.24%E -1.97%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 11:04
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -3.24%E -1.97%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 11:05
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -3.24%E -1.97%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 11:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -3.24%E -1.97%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 11:04
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -3.24%E -1.97%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -3.24%E -1.97%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 11:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -3.24%E -1.97%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 11:04
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.89%EV -6.19%E -3.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -6.55%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 10:29
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -5.60%E -3.50%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -14.25%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 11:04
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.55%E -5.51%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.55%E -5.51%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 11:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.55%E -5.51%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 11:04
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.55%E -5.51%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.37%EV -5.60%E -3.50%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -16.36%E -3.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -14.25%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 11:04
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.37%EV -5.60%E -3.50%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -16.36%E -3.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -14.25%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 11:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.25%EV -9.14%E -5.93%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -16.36%E -3.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 10:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.54%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.41%EV -17.31%E -3.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -15.35%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 11:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.54%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.41%EV -17.31%E -3.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -15.35%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 11:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.70%EV -7.96%E -5.10%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.33%EV -17.31%E -3.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -15.35%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-16 11:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.53%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-08-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.53%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-08-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-08-16 11:25
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.97%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%1.9%2026-08-16 11:25
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.85%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.85%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31%1.9%2026-08-16 11:20
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.21%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.46%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%3.0%2026-08-16 11:05