Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Arminia Bielefeld (Local): 59.00%; FC Energie Cottbus (Visitante): 19.01%; Empate: 21.99%. Para FC Energie Cottbus (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.26. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.754%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -7.96%E -5.10%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV +0.754%E +0.142%K +0.175%G +0.001% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 11:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.34%EV -9.14%E -5.93%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV +0.754%E +0.142%K +0.175%G +0.001% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 11:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.15%EV -6.78%E -4.29%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.00%EV +0.373%E +0.071%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.85%EV -4.35%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.53%EV -6.78%E -4.29%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.197%E -0.038%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.25%EV -1.06%E -0.235%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.55%EV -4.42%E -2.73%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.52%EV -0.957%E -0.184%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.93%EV -3.26%E -0.740%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -7.96%E -5.10%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -1.15%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.77%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -3.05%E -0.598%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 11:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.04%EV -5.01%E -3.11%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 11:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.95%EV -5.01%E -3.11%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 11:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -5.60%E -3.50%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -6.55%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 10:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.19%E -3.89%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 11:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 10:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -8.55%E -5.51%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -8.55%E -5.51%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 11:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -7.96%E -5.10%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.55%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -9.73%E -6.36%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.73%E -6.36%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 11:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.17%EV -3.24%E -1.97%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.39%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.55%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.17%EV -3.24%E -1.97%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.39%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.55%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 11:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -5.60%E -3.50%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -6.85%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 10:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -8.55%E -5.51%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.85%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.55%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.71%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -6.85%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 11:23 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.44%EV -6.78%E -4.29%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -7.80%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.93%EV -5.60%E -3.50%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.26%E -0.740%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 10:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 11:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 11:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 11:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 11:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -9.73%E -6.36%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.25%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-16 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -6.78%E -4.29%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -3.26%E -0.740%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 10:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.71%EV -8.55%E -5.51%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.93%EV -8.75%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 11:03 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.71%EV -8.55%E -5.51%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.93%EV -8.75%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 10:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.71%EV -8.55%E -5.51%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.93%EV -8.75%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 10:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.18%EV -10.32%E -6.79%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.68%EV -8.75%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-16 11:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.86%EV -11.50%E -7.66%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.79%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -13.15%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -3.24%E -1.97%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 11:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -3.24%E -1.97%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 11:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -3.24%E -1.97%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 11:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -3.24%E -1.97%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 11:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -3.24%E -1.97%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 11:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -3.24%E -1.97%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 11:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -3.24%E -1.97%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 11:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -3.24%E -1.97%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 11:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.89%EV -6.19%E -3.89%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -6.55%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 10:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -5.60%E -3.50%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -14.25%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 11:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.55%E -5.51%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-16 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.55%E -5.51%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-16 11:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.55%E -5.51%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-16 11:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.55%E -5.51%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-16 11:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.37%EV -5.60%E -3.50%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -16.36%E -3.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -14.25%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 11:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.37%EV -5.60%E -3.50%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -16.36%E -3.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -14.25%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 11:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.25%EV -9.14%E -5.93%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -16.36%E -3.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 10:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.54%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.41%EV -17.31%E -3.98%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -15.35%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 11:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.54%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.41%EV -17.31%E -3.98%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -15.35%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 11:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.70%EV -7.96%E -5.10%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.33%EV -17.31%E -3.98%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -15.35%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-16 11:04 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.53% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.53% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.97% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.22% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81% | 1.9% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.85% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.85% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31% | 1.9% | 2026-08-16 11:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.21% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.46% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 11:05 |