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1. FC Nürnberg v SV Darmstadt 98

2026-11-07 12:00 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Nürnberg (Local)

Prediction 54.57%1.83fair odd
EV -6.13%
Edge -3.57%
Kelly -8.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.91%54.57%54.51%55.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.681.681.7265.79%59.67%59.52%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SV Darmstadt 98 (Visit)

Prediction 22.47%4.45fair odd
EV -4.51%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.06%22.50%22.46%23.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.064.004.2527.40%24.63%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.96%4.36fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -0.852%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.26%22.93%23.03%23.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.964.004.2026.67%25.23%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: 1. FC Nürnberg (Local): 54.57%; SV Darmstadt 98 (Visit): 22.47%; Draw: 22.96%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.36. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.20, with an expected value of -3.58%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.13%E -3.57%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.58%E -0.852%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 12:10
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.13%E -3.57%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -4.51%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.17%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 12:05
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.13%E -3.57%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -4.51%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.17%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.13%E -3.57%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -4.51%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.17%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 12:05
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.13%E -3.57%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -4.51%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.17%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 12:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.13%E -3.57%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -4.51%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.17%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 12:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.13%E -3.57%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -4.51%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.17%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 12:05
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.13%E -3.57%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -4.51%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.17%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.13%E -3.57%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -4.51%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.17%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 12:05
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -6.68%E -3.91%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.83%EV -8.33%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -5.87%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 12:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.68%E -3.91%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.13%E -2.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.17%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 12:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.58%E -0.852%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 12:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.17%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 12:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -10.13%E -2.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -5.87%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 12:10
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.49%EV -8.32%E -4.95%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.88%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -9.32%E -2.36%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 12:10
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.49%EV -8.32%E -4.95%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.88%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -9.32%E -2.36%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 12:10
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.64%EV -8.86%E -5.31%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10%EV -11.25%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -5.87%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 12:05
picklebet_au🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.86%E -5.31%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.13%E -2.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -8.17%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-31 12:05
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.86%E -5.31%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.13%E -2.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -8.17%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-31 12:10
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.02%EV -8.86%E -5.31%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -10.13%E -2.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -11.61%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-31 12:05
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.17%EV -9.41%E -5.67%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.13%E -2.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -11.61%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-31 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.17%EV -9.41%E -5.67%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.13%E -2.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -11.61%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-31 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -9.95%E -6.03%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.13%E -2.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.28%EV -11.61%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-31 12:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.30%EV -11.04%E -6.78%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -11.25%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.76%E -3.36%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.30%EV -11.04%E -6.78%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -11.25%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.76%E -3.36%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 12:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.29%EV -11.59%E -7.15%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -15.75%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -9.32%E -2.36%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-31 12:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.55%EV -12.14%E -7.54%K -19.89%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.64%EV -12.82%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.81%EV -11.61%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-31 12:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 54.09%EV -13.77%E -8.72%K -23.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.42%EV -17.99%E -4.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.49%EV -12.76%E -3.36%K -4.56%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-31 12:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 55.23%EV -17.05%E -11.22%K -32.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.39%EV -15.75%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.39%EV -13.91%E -3.71%K -5.06%G +0.000%19.1%2026-10-31 12:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 53.79%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.26%16.2%2026-10-31 12:15