Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

1. FC Nürnberg v SV Darmstadt 98

2026-11-07 12:00 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Testa a testa

29 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

1. FC Nürnberg (Casa)

Previsione 54.31%1.84quota equa
EV -2.24%
Vantaggio -1.24%
Kelly -2.80%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.31%54.15%54.39%55.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.681.681.8065.79%59.55%59.52%55.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

SV Darmstadt 98 (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.58%4.43quota equa
EV -4.02%
Vantaggio -0.946%
Kelly -1.24%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.06%22.75%22.47%24.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.654.054.004.2527.40%24.69%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.11%4.33quota equa
EV -2.96%
Vantaggio -0.704%
Kelly -0.924%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.26%23.10%23.13%23.54%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.753.964.004.2026.67%25.27%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: 1. FC Nürnberg (Casa): 54.31%; SV Darmstadt 98 (Trasferta): 22.58%; Pareggio: 23.11%. Per 1. FC Nürnberg (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 1.84. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 1.80, con un valore atteso del -2.24%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -2.24%E -1.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -11.93%E -3.06%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 13:55
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.58%E -3.83%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.15%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.96%E -0.704%K -0.924%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 12:10
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.58%E -3.83%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -4.02%E -0.946%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 12:05
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.58%E -3.83%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -4.02%E -0.946%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.58%E -3.83%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -4.02%E -0.946%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 12:05
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.58%E -3.83%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -4.02%E -0.946%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 12:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.58%E -3.83%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -4.02%E -0.946%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 12:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.58%E -3.83%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -4.02%E -0.946%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 12:05
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.58%E -3.83%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -4.02%E -0.946%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.58%E -3.83%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -4.02%E -0.946%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 12:05
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -7.13%E -4.17%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.83%EV -7.86%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 12:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.13%E -4.17%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.67%E -2.42%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 12:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -5.15%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 12:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -9.67%E -2.42%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 12:10
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.49%EV -8.76%E -5.21%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.41%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 12:10
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.49%EV -8.76%E -5.21%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.41%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 12:10
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.64%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10%EV -10.80%E -2.73%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 12:05
picklebet_au🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -9.67%E -2.42%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-31 12:05
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -9.67%E -2.42%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-31 12:10
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.02%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.67%E -2.42%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-31 12:05
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.17%EV -9.84%E -5.93%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -9.67%E -2.42%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-31 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.17%EV -9.84%E -5.93%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -9.67%E -2.42%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-31 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -10.39%E -6.29%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.67%E -2.42%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.28%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-31 12:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.30%EV -11.47%E -7.04%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -10.80%E -2.73%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.30%EV -11.47%E -7.04%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -10.80%E -2.73%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 12:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.29%EV -12.01%E -7.42%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -15.31%E -4.08%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-31 12:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.55%EV -12.56%E -7.80%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.64%EV -12.38%E -3.19%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.81%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-31 12:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 54.09%EV -14.19%E -8.98%K -24.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.42%EV -17.57%E -4.81%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.49%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-31 12:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 55.23%EV -17.45%E -11.48%K -33.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.39%EV -15.31%E -4.08%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.39%EV -13.36%E -3.56%K -4.86%G +0.000%19.1%2026-10-31 12:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 53.79%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.26%16.2%2026-10-31 12:15