默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

1. FC Nürnberg v Arminia Bielefeld

开赛时间: 2026-08-29 18:30 UTC

最终结果: 1. FC Nürnberg 4–1 Arminia Bielefeld

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

1. FC Nürnberg (主队)

预测 40.90%2.45公平赔率
EV -2.66%
优势 -1.12%
Kelly -1.93%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.38

博彩公司预测分布
39.28%41.05%40.86%43.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.072.232.242.3848.31%44.86%44.74%42.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

Arminia Bielefeld (客队)

预测 33.04%3.03公平赔率
EV +0.766%
优势 +0.251%
Kelly +0.374%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 3.05

博彩公司预测分布
30.80%32.87%33.06%33.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.852.833.0538.46%35.09%35.34%32.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.06%3.84公平赔率
EV -2.27%
优势 -0.604%
Kelly -0.824%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
24.74%26.07%26.08%27.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.523.553.7530.30%28.38%28.17%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:1. FC Nürnberg (主队):40.90%;Arminia Bielefeld (客队):33.04%;平局:26.06%。 对于“Arminia Bielefeld (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.03。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.05,对应+0.766%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -10.84%E -4.97%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV +0.766%E +0.251%K +0.374%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -10.84%E -4.97%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV +0.766%E +0.251%K +0.374%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -10.84%E -4.97%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV +0.766%E +0.251%K +0.374%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -10.84%E -4.97%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV +0.766%E +0.251%K +0.374%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -10.84%E -4.97%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV +0.766%E +0.251%K +0.374%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -10.84%E -4.97%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV +0.766%E +0.251%K +0.374%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -10.84%E -4.97%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV +0.766%E +0.251%K +0.374%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:20
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -10.84%E -4.97%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV +0.766%E +0.251%K +0.374%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.49%EV -8.39%E -3.74%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -0.886%E -0.295%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.79%EV -3.83%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.49%EV -8.39%E -3.74%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -0.886%E -0.295%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.79%EV -3.83%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 14:45
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -2.54%E -0.860%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -2.27%E -0.604%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 18:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.67%EV -7.16%E -3.15%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -2.54%E -0.860%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 18:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -2.54%E -0.860%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:25
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.67%EV -2.66%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.38%EV -4.19%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.95%EV -2.79%E -0.747%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -4.19%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 08:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -4.19%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 08:15
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -13.29%E -6.27%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -4.19%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -4.19%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 18:20
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.26%EV -14.93%E -7.18%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -4.19%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 17:50
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.83%EV -4.70%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.03%EV -4.85%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.14%EV -5.13%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 18:25
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -4.85%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 18:15
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -4.85%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 18:25
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:25
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:25
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -15.34%E -7.41%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -12.69%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -15.34%E -7.41%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -12.69%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -15.34%E -7.41%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -12.69%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.26%EV -7.57%E -3.35%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.19%EV -7.16%E -2.55%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -4.87%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 18:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.49%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.49%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -2.27%E -0.604%K -0.824%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 18:25
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.49%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 18:25
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -7.49%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -7.48%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 18:25
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.49%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 18:25
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.49%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.49%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.49%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.49%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.00%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.25%EV -7.49%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -4.87%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 18:25
Suprabets🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.11%EV -4.70%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.86%EV -8.81%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.03%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:25
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 18:20
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 18:24
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 18:25
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 18:25
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 18:25
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 18:15
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 18:15
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 18:15
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.69%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.24%EV -9.81%E -3.59%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.07%EV -9.30%E -2.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 18:24
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.80%E -4.00%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 18:25
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.80%E -4.00%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.99%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.37%EV -12.07%E -5.61%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.57%EV -12.45%E -4.70%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -7.48%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-29 18:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.51%EV -12.07%E -5.61%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -14.10%E -5.42%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -12.69%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-29 18:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.95%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.29%0.1%2026-08-29 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.75%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.64%0.1%2026-08-29 18:25
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-08-29 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-08-29 18:25
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.60%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.20%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%1.8%2026-08-29 18:25
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.0%2026-08-29 18:15