StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

1. FC Nürnberg v Arminia Bielefeld

Matchstart: 2026-08-29 18:30 UTC

Slutresultat: 1. FC Nürnberg 4–1 Arminia Bielefeld

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

1. FC Nürnberg (Hemma)

Prognos 40.90%2.45rättvist odds
EV -2.66%
Fördel -1.12%
Kelly -1.93%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.38

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.28%41.05%40.86%43.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.072.232.242.3848.31%44.86%44.74%42.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Arminia Bielefeld (Borta)

Prognos 33.04%3.03rättvist odds
EV +0.766%
Fördel +0.251%
Kelly +0.374%
Tillväxt +0.003%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.80%32.87%33.06%33.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.602.852.833.0538.46%35.09%35.34%32.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.06%3.84rättvist odds
EV -2.27%
Fördel -0.604%
Kelly -0.824%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.74%26.07%26.08%27.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.523.553.7530.30%28.38%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: 1. FC Nürnberg (Hemma): 40.90%; Arminia Bielefeld (Borta): 33.04%; Oavgjort: 26.06%. För Arminia Bielefeld (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.03. 8 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.05, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.766%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -10.84%E -4.97%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV +0.766%E +0.251%K +0.374%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -10.84%E -4.97%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV +0.766%E +0.251%K +0.374%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -10.84%E -4.97%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV +0.766%E +0.251%K +0.374%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -10.84%E -4.97%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV +0.766%E +0.251%K +0.374%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -10.84%E -4.97%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV +0.766%E +0.251%K +0.374%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -10.84%E -4.97%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV +0.766%E +0.251%K +0.374%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -10.84%E -4.97%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV +0.766%E +0.251%K +0.374%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:20
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -10.84%E -4.97%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV +0.766%E +0.251%K +0.374%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.49%EV -8.39%E -3.74%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -0.886%E -0.295%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.79%EV -3.83%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.49%EV -8.39%E -3.74%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -0.886%E -0.295%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.79%EV -3.83%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 14:45
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -2.54%E -0.860%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -2.27%E -0.604%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 18:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.67%EV -7.16%E -3.15%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -2.54%E -0.860%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 18:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -2.54%E -0.860%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:25
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.67%EV -2.66%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.38%EV -4.19%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.95%EV -2.79%E -0.747%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -4.19%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 08:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -4.19%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 08:15
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -13.29%E -6.27%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -4.19%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -4.19%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 18:20
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.26%EV -14.93%E -7.18%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -4.19%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 17:50
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.83%EV -4.70%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.03%EV -4.85%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.14%EV -5.13%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 18:25
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -4.85%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 18:15
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -4.85%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 18:25
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:25
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:25
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -15.34%E -7.41%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -12.69%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -15.34%E -7.41%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -12.69%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -15.34%E -7.41%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -5.84%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -12.69%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.26%EV -7.57%E -3.35%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.19%EV -7.16%E -2.55%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -4.87%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 18:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.49%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.49%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -2.27%E -0.604%K -0.824%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 18:25
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.49%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 18:25
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -7.49%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -7.48%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 18:25
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.49%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 18:25
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.49%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.49%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.49%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.49%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.00%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.25%EV -7.49%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -4.87%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 18:25
Suprabets🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.11%EV -4.70%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.86%EV -8.81%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.03%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:25
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 18:20
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 18:24
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 18:25
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 18:25
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 18:25
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 18:15
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 18:15
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 18:15
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.69%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.24%EV -9.81%E -3.59%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.07%EV -9.30%E -2.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 18:24
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.80%E -4.00%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 18:25
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.80%E -4.00%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.99%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.37%EV -12.07%E -5.61%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.57%EV -12.45%E -4.70%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -7.48%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-29 18:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.51%EV -12.07%E -5.61%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -14.10%E -5.42%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -12.69%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-29 18:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.95%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.29%0.1%2026-08-29 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.75%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.64%0.1%2026-08-29 18:25
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-08-29 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-08-29 18:25
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.60%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.20%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%1.8%2026-08-29 18:25
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.0%2026-08-29 18:15