Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.19
assuming max odds 3.30
assuming max odds 3.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Nürnberg (Local): 44.09%; 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit): 29.76%; Draw: 26.15%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.680%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.42%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV +0.680%E +0.177%K +0.239%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 11:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -6.53%E -3.08%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -9.24%E -3.03%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -1.94%E -0.516%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-16 07:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -6.53%E -3.08%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -9.24%E -3.03%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -1.94%E -0.516%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-16 07:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.18%EV -3.44%E -1.57%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.68%EV -2.99%E -0.917%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 11:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.55%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.56%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 11:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.55%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.56%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 11:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-16 07:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-16 07:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-16 07:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-16 07:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-16 07:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-16 07:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-16 07:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-16 07:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-16 07:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 07:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 11:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.02%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.55%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 10:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -8.29%E -3.99%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.55%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-16 07:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 04:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -1.80%E -0.545%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 11:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -5.64%E -2.64%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 02:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 09:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 04:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 11:33 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.24%E -3.03%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 02:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.33%EV -5.64%E -2.64%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.10%EV -2.99%E -0.917%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.57%EV -6.64%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -6.53%E -3.08%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -7.16%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -6.90%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 11:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.49%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.17%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 11:53 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.05%EV -10.93%E -5.41%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.89%EV -14.30%E -4.96%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -7.17%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-16 07:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.05%EV -10.93%E -5.41%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.89%EV -14.30%E -4.96%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -7.17%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-16 07:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 11:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 11:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 02:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 11:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 11:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 02:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 02:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 11:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 11:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 11:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 11:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 11:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 11:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 04:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 04:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 04:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 04:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.23%EV -10.93%E -5.41%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.49%EV -9.83%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-21 11:33 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -11.82%E -5.91%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -13.70%E -4.73%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-21 02:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -14.02%E -7.19%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-21 11:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.70%E -4.15%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.15%EV -13.14%E -6.67%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.49%EV -12.21%E -4.14%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -13.70%E -4.15%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-21 11:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -11.82%E -5.91%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -16.68%E -5.96%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -18.93%E -6.11%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-03-21 11:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 43.64%EV -16.23%E -8.54%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.61%EV -16.68%E -5.96%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.75%EV -18.93%E -6.11%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 20.6% | 2026-03-21 11:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.51% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.59% | 0.3% | 2026-03-21 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.13% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.13% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 11:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-03-21 11:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.00% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 11:55 |