La scuola delle quote

1. FC Nürnberg v 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Inizio: 2026-03-21 12:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

1. FC Nürnberg (Casa)

Previsione 44.09%2.27quota equa
EV -3.44%
Vantaggio -1.57%
Kelly -2.89%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.19

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.38%44.16%44.09%45.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.092.102.1952.63%47.87%47.62%45.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.76%3.36quota equa
EV -1.80%
Vantaggio -0.545%
Kelly -0.783%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.67%29.81%29.74%30.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.063.003.3035.71%32.72%33.33%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.15%3.82quota equa
EV +0.680%
Vantaggio +0.177%
Kelly +0.239%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.77%26.03%26.17%27.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.553.563.8532.26%28.14%28.09%25.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.42%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV +0.680%E +0.177%K +0.239%G +0.002%4.8%2026-03-21 11:54
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -6.53%E -3.08%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -9.24%E -3.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -1.94%E -0.516%K -0.704%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-16 07:20
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -6.53%E -3.08%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -9.24%E -3.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -1.94%E -0.516%K -0.704%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-16 07:20
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.18%EV -3.44%E -1.57%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.68%EV -2.99%E -0.917%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 11:45
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.55%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.56%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 11:45
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.55%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.56%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 11:44
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 07:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 07:40
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 07:20
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 07:20
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 07:40
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 07:40
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 07:40
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 07:40
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 07:20
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 07:59
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -3.24%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 11:44
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.02%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.55%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 10:59
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -8.29%E -3.99%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.55%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-16 07:40
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 04:10
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -1.80%E -0.545%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 11:55
Codere (IT)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -5.64%E -2.64%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 02:40
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 09:45
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 04:35
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 11:33
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.24%E -3.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 02:30
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.33%EV -5.64%E -2.64%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.10%EV -2.99%E -0.917%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.57%EV -6.64%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 11:55
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -6.53%E -3.08%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -7.16%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -6.90%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 11:35
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.49%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.17%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 11:53
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.05%EV -10.93%E -5.41%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.89%EV -14.30%E -4.96%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -7.17%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-16 07:20
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.05%EV -10.93%E -5.41%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.89%EV -14.30%E -4.96%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -7.17%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-16 07:20
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 11:54
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 11:34
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 02:30
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 11:34
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 11:45
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 02:39
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 02:39
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 11:54
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 11:35
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 11:34
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 11:34
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 11:35
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 11:54
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 04:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 04:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 04:35
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 04:35
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.23%EV -10.93%E -5.41%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.49%EV -9.83%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 11:33
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -11.82%E -5.91%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -13.70%E -4.73%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-21 02:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -14.02%E -7.19%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-21 11:35
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.70%E -4.15%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-21 11:00
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.15%EV -13.14%E -6.67%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.49%EV -12.21%E -4.14%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -13.70%E -4.15%K -5.96%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-21 11:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -11.82%E -5.91%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -16.68%E -5.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -18.93%E -6.11%K -9.02%G +0.000%18.0%2026-03-21 11:55
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.64%EV -16.23%E -8.54%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.61%EV -16.68%E -5.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.75%EV -18.93%E -6.11%K -9.02%G +0.000%20.6%2026-03-21 11:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.59%0.3%2026-03-21 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-03-21 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-03-21 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-03-21 11:55
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-03-21 11:45
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.00%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%2.4%2026-03-21 11:55