Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.40
assuming max odds 2.85
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Magdeburg (Local): 40.72%; SV Darmstadt 98 (Visit): 34.36%; Draw: 24.91%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -0.342%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.43%EV -2.26%E -0.943%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.04%EV -2.07%E -0.726%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-13 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.43%EV -2.26%E -0.943%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.04%EV -2.07%E -0.726%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-13 17:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -2.26%E -0.943%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -7.22%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -2.26%E -0.943%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-13 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.48%EV -3.08%E -1.29%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 14:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.48%EV -3.08%E -1.29%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 14:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.17%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.95%EV -2.07%E -0.726%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.87%EV -3.08%E -0.792%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-13 17:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -0.342%E -0.085%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 14:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 14:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 14:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 14:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 14:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.75%EV -5.11%E -2.19%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -9.63%E -3.66%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 14:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.75%EV -5.11%E -2.19%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -9.63%E -3.66%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 14:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.75%EV -5.52%E -2.38%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.56%EV -5.52%E -2.38%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -10.66%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.06%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-13 14:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 17:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 17:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 17:23 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 17:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -7.22%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 17:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.32%EV -7.22%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -9.06%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 17:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -10.66%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-13 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -10.66%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-13 16:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -14.10%E -5.64%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.80%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-13 14:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -14.10%E -5.64%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.80%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-13 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -14.10%E -5.64%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.80%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-13 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -14.10%E -5.64%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.80%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-13 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -7.15%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -7.32%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 17:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -7.15%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -7.91%E -2.95%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-13 17:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -7.15%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -7.91%E -2.95%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-13 17:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.50%EV -7.15%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.22%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -9.06%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-13 17:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.78%EV -7.56%E -3.33%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.52%EV -2.76%E -0.974%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.70%EV -4.33%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -2.07%E -0.726%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.23%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.22%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-13 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -7.22%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-13 17:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-13 17:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -7.22%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-13 17:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -7.22%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-13 17:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -7.22%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-13 17:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -7.22%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-13 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.74%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%EV -12.38%E -4.85%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -11.55%E -3.25%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-13 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.74%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%EV -12.38%E -4.85%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -11.55%E -3.25%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-13 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -10.41%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -9.97%E -3.81%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-13 17:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -10.41%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -10.66%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -12.80%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-13 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.97%EV -11.22%E -5.15%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -9.97%E -3.81%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.95%EV -10.81%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-13 17:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.70%EV -12.44%E -5.79%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -14.10%E -5.64%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-13 17:14 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.68%EV -14.48%E -6.90%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.66%EV -10.66%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -11.55%E -3.25%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-13 17:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.11%EV -14.48%E -6.90%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.86%EV -12.38%E -4.85%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.03%EV -14.04%E -4.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-13 17:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.06%EV -14.48%E -6.90%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.65%EV -14.10%E -5.64%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.29%EV -20.27%E -6.34%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-03-13 17:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.84%EV -16.52%E -8.06%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.17%EV -15.81%E -6.45%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 24.99%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-03-13 17:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.09% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 0.6% | 2026-03-13 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.09% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 0.6% | 2026-03-13 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.29% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.29% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.40% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63% | 1.5% | 2026-03-13 17:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.21% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52% | 2.0% | 2026-03-13 17:20 |