L’École des cotes

1. FC Magdeburg v SV Darmstadt 98

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-13 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

1. FC Magdeburg (Local)

Prévision 40.72%2.46cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -0.943%
Kelly -1.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.80%40.64%40.76%41.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.292.302.4048.78%43.76%43.48%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SV Darmstadt 98 (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.36%2.91cote équitable
EV -2.07%
Avantage -0.726%
Kelly -1.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.15%34.50%34.32%35.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.662.652.8540.82%37.61%37.74%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.91%4.01cote équitable
EV -0.342%
Avantage -0.085%
Kelly -0.114%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.74%24.86%24.91%26.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.683.704.0031.25%27.20%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.43%EV -2.26%E -0.943%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.04%EV -2.07%E -0.726%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-13 17:05
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.43%EV -2.26%E -0.943%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.04%EV -2.07%E -0.726%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-13 17:05
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -2.26%E -0.943%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -7.22%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 16:35
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -2.26%E -0.943%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-13 15:40
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.48%EV -3.08%E -1.29%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 14:10
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.48%EV -3.08%E -1.29%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 14:10
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.17%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.95%EV -2.07%E -0.726%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.87%EV -3.08%E -0.792%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-13 17:10
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -0.342%E -0.085%K -0.114%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 16:30
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 14:10
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 14:09
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 14:10
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 14:09
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 14:09
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 14:09
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 14:10
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.75%EV -5.11%E -2.19%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -9.63%E -3.66%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.75%EV -5.11%E -2.19%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -9.63%E -3.66%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 14:09
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.75%EV -5.52%E -2.38%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 17:20
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 39.56%EV -5.52%E -2.38%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -10.66%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.06%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 14:10
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 17:09
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 17:10
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 17:15
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 17:23
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 17:05
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -7.22%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 17:09
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.32%EV -7.22%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -9.06%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 17:15
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -10.66%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 16:30
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -10.66%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 16:29
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -14.10%E -5.64%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.80%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-13 14:19
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -14.10%E -5.64%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.80%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-13 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -14.10%E -5.64%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.80%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-13 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -14.10%E -5.64%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.80%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-13 14:20
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -7.15%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -7.32%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 17:25
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -7.15%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -7.91%E -2.95%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 17:15
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -7.15%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -7.91%E -2.95%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 17:15
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 40.50%EV -7.15%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.22%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -9.06%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 17:05
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.78%EV -7.56%E -3.33%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.52%EV -2.76%E -0.974%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.70%EV -4.33%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 17:25
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -2.07%E -0.726%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 17:20
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.23%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.22%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 17:05
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -7.22%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 17:04
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 17:15
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -7.22%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 17:14
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -7.22%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 17:15
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -7.22%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 17:14
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -7.22%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 17:15
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.74%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%EV -12.38%E -4.85%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -11.55%E -3.25%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-13 14:10
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.74%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%EV -12.38%E -4.85%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -11.55%E -3.25%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-13 14:10
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -10.41%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -9.97%E -3.81%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-13 17:10
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -10.41%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -10.66%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -12.80%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-13 17:10
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.97%EV -11.22%E -5.15%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -9.97%E -3.81%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.95%EV -10.81%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-13 17:19
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.70%EV -12.44%E -5.79%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -14.10%E -5.64%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-13 17:14
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.68%EV -14.48%E -6.90%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.66%EV -10.66%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -11.55%E -3.25%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-13 17:15
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.11%EV -14.48%E -6.90%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.86%EV -12.38%E -4.85%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.03%EV -14.04%E -4.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-13 17:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.06%EV -14.48%E -6.90%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.65%EV -14.10%E -5.64%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.29%EV -20.27%E -6.34%K -9.22%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-13 17:20
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 40.84%EV -16.52%E -8.06%K -15.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.17%EV -15.81%E -6.45%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.99%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-13 17:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.09%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%0.6%2026-03-13 17:25
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.09%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%0.6%2026-03-13 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.29%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-03-13 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.29%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-03-13 17:20
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.40%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%1.5%2026-03-13 17:25
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.21%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52%2.0%2026-03-13 17:20