Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.80
assuming max odds 4.58
assuming max odds 4.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Magdeburg (Local): 55.79%; Karlsruher SC (Visit): 21.82%; Draw: 22.39%. For 1. FC Magdeburg (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.426%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV +0.426%E +0.237%K +0.532%G +0.002% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.79%EV -16.44%E -4.29%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.45%EV -5.28%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 12:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.54%EV -4.04%E -2.35%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.01%E -0.911%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 12:13 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.35%EV -4.60%E -2.69%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.04%EV -0.081%E -0.018%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.62%EV -4.61%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 12:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.24%EV -4.60%E -2.69%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -0.736%E -0.162%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.63%EV -4.84%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.24%EV -4.60%E -2.69%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -0.736%E -0.162%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.63%EV -4.84%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.96%EV -4.60%E -2.69%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -4.84%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 18:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.96%EV -4.60%E -2.69%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -4.84%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.52%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -1.48%E -0.336%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.37%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 12:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -1.83%E -0.406%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -8.19%E -2.00%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 12:22 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.78%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -5.54%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 12:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.25%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -7.28%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -8.19%E -2.00%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 11:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.28%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.43%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-01 12:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.19%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -3.72%E -0.864%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 11:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.55%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -7.28%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -7.07%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 12:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 19:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.09%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.28%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -10.43%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-01 12:23 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.56%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.01%E -0.911%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -3.72%E -0.864%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 10:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%EV -5.10%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -4.84%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 11:14 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -5.54%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.19%E -2.00%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -5.54%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.19%E -2.00%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 12:23 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -5.54%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.19%E -2.00%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.37%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 11:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -8.19%E -2.00%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.43%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-01 12:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.43%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-01 12:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.43%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-01 12:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.43%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-01 12:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -5.54%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 12:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -7.28%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -7.07%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 11:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -7.28%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -7.07%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 11:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.67%E -3.25%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-01 11:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.67%E -3.25%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-01 11:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.67%E -3.25%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-01 11:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.67%E -3.25%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-01 11:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.14%EV -8.50%E -5.18%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -3.72%E -0.864%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 11:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -4.01%E -0.911%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -3.72%E -0.864%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-01 12:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -8.37%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -10.43%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-01 11:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -10.17%E -6.32%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.92%E -3.82%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -10.43%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-01 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -10.17%E -6.32%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.92%E -3.82%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -10.43%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-28 23:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.71%EV -10.73%E -6.71%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.01%EV -11.64%E -2.88%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -10.43%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 12:08 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.24%EV -10.73%E -6.71%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -12.67%E -3.25%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-01 11:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.62%EV -11.85%E -7.50%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.56%EV -9.46%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.82%EV -8.19%E -2.00%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.39%EV -11.85%E -7.50%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.73%EV -16.01%E -4.16%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.88%EV -10.43%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-01 11:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.32%EV -12.41%E -7.90%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.32%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.36%EV -21.63%E -6.18%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-03-01 11:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.71%EV -13.52%E -8.72%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.14%EV -14.92%E -3.82%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.14%EV -12.67%E -3.25%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-01 12:08 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 56.53%EV -17.43%E -11.78%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.45%EV -14.92%E -3.82%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.02%EV -14.91%E -3.92%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-03-01 11:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.45% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.82% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.73% | 0.0% | 2026-03-01 12:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.33% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.33% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 11:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.33% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 11:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.20% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.93% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.86% | 1.6% | 2026-03-01 12:24 |