La escuela de los momios

1. FC Magdeburg v Karlsruher SC

Inicio: 2026-03-01 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

1. FC Magdeburg (Local)

Predicción 55.79%1.79momio equitativo
EV +0.426%
Ventaja +0.237%
Kelly +0.532%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.76%55.79%55.79%57.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.661.671.8067.57%60.19%59.88%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Karlsruher SC (Visitante)

Predicción 21.82%4.58momio equitativo
EV -0.081%
Ventaja -0.018%
Kelly -0.023%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.01%21.86%21.83%24.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.834.164.104.5826.11%24.06%24.39%21.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.39%4.47momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.336%
Kelly -0.434%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.41%22.36%22.38%24.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.114.154.4028.57%24.34%24.10%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV +0.426%E +0.237%K +0.532%G +0.002%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.79%EV -16.44%E -4.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.45%EV -5.28%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 12:24
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.54%EV -4.04%E -2.35%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.01%E -0.911%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 12:13
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.35%EV -4.60%E -2.69%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.04%EV -0.081%E -0.018%K -0.023%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.62%EV -4.61%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 12:15
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.24%EV -4.60%E -2.69%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -0.736%E -0.162%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.63%EV -4.84%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 12:09
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.24%EV -4.60%E -2.69%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -0.736%E -0.162%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.63%EV -4.84%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 12:09
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.96%EV -4.60%E -2.69%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -4.84%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 18:54
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.96%EV -4.60%E -2.69%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -4.84%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 18:55
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.52%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -1.48%E -0.336%K -0.434%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 12:09
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.37%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 12:24
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -1.83%E -0.406%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -8.19%E -2.00%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 12:22
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.78%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -5.54%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 12:24
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.25%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -7.28%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -8.19%E -2.00%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 11:14
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.28%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.43%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 12:14
Codere (IT)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.19%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -3.72%E -0.864%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 11:14
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.55%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -7.28%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -7.07%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 12:14
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 19:00
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 18:55
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 18:55
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 18:55
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 18:55
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 18:55
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 19:00
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.09%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.28%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -10.43%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 12:23
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.56%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.01%E -0.911%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -3.72%E -0.864%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 10:14
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%EV -5.10%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -4.84%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 11:14
Suprabets1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -5.54%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.19%E -2.00%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 12:09
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -5.54%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.19%E -2.00%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 12:23
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -5.54%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.19%E -2.00%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 12:09
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.37%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 11:59
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -8.19%E -2.00%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 18:55
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.43%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 12:24
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.43%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 12:24
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.43%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 12:24
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.43%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 12:24
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -5.54%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.96%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 12:24
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -7.28%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -7.07%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 11:15
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -7.28%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -7.07%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 11:14
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.67%E -3.25%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 11:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.67%E -3.25%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 11:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.67%E -3.25%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 11:19
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.67%E -3.25%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 11:19
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.14%EV -8.50%E -5.18%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -3.72%E -0.864%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 11:14
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -4.01%E -0.911%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -3.72%E -0.864%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 12:24
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -8.37%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -10.43%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 11:44
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -10.17%E -6.32%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.92%E -3.82%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -10.43%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-01 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -10.17%E -6.32%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.92%E -3.82%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -10.43%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-28 23:59
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.71%EV -10.73%E -6.71%K -17.89%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.01%EV -11.64%E -2.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -10.43%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 12:08
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.24%EV -10.73%E -6.71%K -17.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -12.67%E -3.25%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-01 11:44
Parions Sport (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 56.62%EV -11.85%E -7.50%K -20.43%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.56%EV -9.46%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.82%EV -8.19%E -2.00%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 12:09
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.39%EV -11.85%E -7.50%K -20.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.73%EV -16.01%E -4.16%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.88%EV -10.43%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-01 11:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.32%EV -12.41%E -7.90%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.32%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.36%EV -21.63%E -6.18%K -8.65%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-01 11:24
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 55.71%EV -13.52%E -8.72%K -24.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.14%EV -14.92%E -3.82%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.14%EV -12.67%E -3.25%K -4.37%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-01 12:08
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 56.53%EV -17.43%E -11.78%K -36.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.45%EV -14.92%E -3.82%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.02%EV -14.91%E -3.92%K -5.33%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-01 11:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.45%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.82%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.73%0.0%2026-03-01 12:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.33%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.8%2026-03-01 12:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.33%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.8%2026-03-01 11:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.33%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.8%2026-03-01 11:44
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.86%1.6%2026-03-01 12:24