Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

1. FC Kaiserslautern v SV Darmstadt 98

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 11:00 UTC

Score final : 1. FC Kaiserslautern 3–0 SV Darmstadt 98

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Local)

Prévision 42.40%2.36cote équitable
EV -4.61%
Avantage -2.05%
Kelly -3.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.50%42.40%42.26%43.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.042.162.152.2549.02%46.23%46.51%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

SV Darmstadt 98 (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.42%3.18cote équitable
EV -0.701%
Avantage -0.222%
Kelly -0.325%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.26%31.40%31.60%32.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.952.953.1637.04%33.94%33.90%31.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.18%3.82cote équitable
EV -1.82%
Avantage -0.486%
Kelly -0.663%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.23%26.20%26.14%27.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.523.503.7530.77%28.41%28.57%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Local) : 42.40% ; SV Darmstadt 98 (Visiteur) : 31.42% ; Match nul : 26.18%. Pour SV Darmstadt 98 (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.18. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.16, pour une espérance de -0.701% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.82%E -0.486%K -0.663%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 17:30
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.18%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -3.13%E -0.847%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 08:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 22:35
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.99%EV -5.03%E -2.25%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.48%EV -0.701%E -0.222%K -0.325%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.53%EV -4.97%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.91%EV -5.88%E -2.65%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.63%EV -2.27%E -0.731%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.91%EV -5.88%E -2.65%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.63%EV -2.27%E -0.731%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 14:15
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.38%EV -6.31%E -2.85%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.01%EV -5.10%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.61%EV -7.85%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:15
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -4.16%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 11:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.59%E -0.834%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 18:25
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.59%E -0.834%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 23:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.13%E -0.847%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 12:40
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 19:10
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 19:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 08:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 08:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 11:30
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 04:10
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 11:50
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.50%E -3.30%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 08:24
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -10.44%E -3.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.68%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 22:35
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -10.44%E -3.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.68%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 22:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.60%EV -7.15%E -3.27%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -5.10%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.85%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:10
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -7.58%E -3.48%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.92%EV -9.50%E -3.30%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 11:55
Suprabets🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.68%EV -8.00%E -3.69%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.47%EV -4.47%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.68%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 12:11
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -4.16%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.44%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 04:35
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -4.16%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.44%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 04:35
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -4.16%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.44%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 04:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -4.16%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.44%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 04:35
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -4.16%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.44%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 04:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -4.16%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.44%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 04:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -4.16%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.44%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 04:35
betPARX🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -4.16%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.44%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 04:35
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-03 16:48
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-03 16:49
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 08:44
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.50%E -3.30%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-03 19:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.31%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.70%EV -9.81%E -3.42%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 11:10
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 11:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 11:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 11:05
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 11:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.01%E -4.29%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-03 07:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.01%E -4.29%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-03 07:44
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.01%E -4.29%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-03 07:45
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.01%E -4.29%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-03 07:50
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.01%E -4.29%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-03 19:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.97%E -5.22%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 11:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.97%E -5.22%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -15.16%E -5.61%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-02 11:54
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.49%EV -11.82%E -5.68%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 04:35
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.61%EV -12.24%E -5.91%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 04:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.61%EV -12.24%E -5.91%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 04:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 41.85%EV -12.24%E -5.91%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -13.58%E -4.94%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.65%EV -14.91%E -4.59%K -6.63%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-04 02:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.49%EV -13.51%E -6.62%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -9.50%E -3.30%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -9.68%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 04:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.49%EV -13.51%E -6.62%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -9.50%E -3.30%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -9.68%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 04:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.49%EV -13.51%E -6.62%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -9.50%E -3.30%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -9.68%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 04:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-09-04 11:20
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%1.5%2026-09-04 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.91%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.62%2.7%2026-09-04 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.91%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.62%2.7%2026-09-04 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.91%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.62%2.7%2026-09-04 13:35
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 42.72%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%3.1%2026-09-04 12:40