Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Kaiserslautern v Karlsruher SC

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 18:30 UTC

Final: 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0–0 Karlsruher SC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Local)

Prediction 47.22%2.12fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -2.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%47.32%47.18%49.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.931.952.0655.56%51.77%51.28%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Karlsruher SC (Visit)

Prediction 27.91%3.58fair odd
EV -0.929%
Edge -0.262%
Kelly -0.364%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.33%27.83%27.94%28.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.343.313.5532.26%29.94%30.17%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.87%4.02fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -0.767%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.96%24.85%24.88%25.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.723.753.9028.57%26.87%26.67%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Local): 47.22%; Karlsruher SC (Visit): 27.91%; Draw: 24.87%. For Karlsruher SC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.55, with an expected value of -0.929%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.96%EV -2.73%E -1.33%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.04%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.00%EV -3.74%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%EV -3.67%E -1.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.59%EV -7.07%E -2.12%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -4.23%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 07:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%EV -3.67%E -1.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.59%EV -7.07%E -2.12%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -4.23%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 07:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.69%EV -4.62%E -2.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.72%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 18:00
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -4.62%E -2.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -6.72%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 18:20
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -5.12%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -4.23%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 17:54
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.48%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 17:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -4.23%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.72%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 17:54
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -9.21%E -2.52%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.68%EV -6.51%E -3.29%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -9.21%E -2.52%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 18:25
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -6.51%E -3.29%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -10.45%E -2.90%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 17:54
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -6.51%E -3.29%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -10.45%E -2.90%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 17:54
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.25%EV -6.98%E -3.54%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.93%EV -1.49%E -0.421%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.82%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 18:24
Suprabets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.46%EV -6.98%E -3.54%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.74%EV -5.95%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.80%EV -6.22%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.48%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 18:24
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.12%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.48%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 18:19
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.12%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.72%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 18:24
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.12%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.72%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 18:23
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.48%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 08:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.48%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 08:54
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.70%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.72%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:04
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.70%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.72%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 08:59
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.45%E -2.90%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 17:55
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.45%E -2.90%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.45%E -2.90%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 17:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.45%E -2.90%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 17:54
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.70%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.45%E -2.90%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.70%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.45%E -2.90%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 18:19
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.49%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.94%E -3.70%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.05%EV -8.40%E -4.33%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -6.97%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -8.87%E -4.60%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -2.32%E -0.664%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -2.99%E -0.767%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.21%EV -9.34%E -4.87%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.32%EV -10.95%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.61%EV -9.34%E -4.87%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -13.49%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -9.21%E -2.52%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 17:54
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -9.81%E -5.14%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.12%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.96%E -2.15%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 18:23
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.17%EV -9.81%E -5.14%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -10.70%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -9.21%E -2.52%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.81%E -5.14%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -10.70%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.94%E -3.70%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 17:24
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.81%E -5.14%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -10.70%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.94%E -3.70%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 17:24
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.81%E -5.14%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -10.70%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.94%E -3.70%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 17:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.81%E -5.14%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -10.70%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.94%E -3.70%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 17:24
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.81%E -5.14%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -10.70%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.94%E -3.70%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 17:24
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -10.76%E -5.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -0.929%E -0.262%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -2.99%E -0.767%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 17:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -11.23%E -5.97%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -0.929%E -0.262%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -2.99%E -0.767%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 17:49
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -11.23%E -5.97%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -0.929%E -0.262%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -2.99%E -0.767%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 17:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -11.23%E -5.97%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -0.929%E -0.262%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -2.99%E -0.767%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 17:49
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -11.23%E -5.97%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -0.929%E -0.262%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -2.99%E -0.767%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 17:49
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -11.23%E -5.97%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -0.929%E -0.262%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -2.99%E -0.767%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -11.23%E -5.97%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -0.929%E -0.262%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -2.99%E -0.767%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 17:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -11.23%E -5.97%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -0.929%E -0.262%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -2.99%E -0.767%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.64%EV -12.65%E -6.84%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -10.70%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.82%EV -11.70%E -3.29%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 18:25
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -13.59%E -7.43%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -5.12%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -6.72%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -13.59%E -7.43%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -5.12%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -6.72%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 17:49
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -13.59%E -7.43%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -5.12%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -6.72%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 17:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -15.01%E -8.34%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.46%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -9.21%E -2.52%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 17:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -15.01%E -8.34%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.46%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -9.21%E -2.52%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 17:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -15.01%E -8.34%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.46%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -9.21%E -2.52%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 17:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-08-15 18:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-08-15 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-08-15 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-08-15 18:19
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%1.8%2026-08-15 18:25
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-08-15 18:25