The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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1. FC Heidenheim v FC Energie Cottbus

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 11:00 UTC

Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 1–1 FC Energie Cottbus

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Heidenheim (Local)

Prediction 63.81%1.57fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.708%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.91%63.76%63.82%65.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.461.451.5573.53%68.26%68.97%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Energie Cottbus (Visit)

Prediction 17.30%5.78fair odd
EV +2.42%
Edge +0.409%
Kelly +0.492%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 5.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.73%17.32%17.31%19.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.235.255.9222.22%19.13%19.05%16.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.89%5.29fair odd
EV -0.822%
Edge -0.157%
Kelly -0.193%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.92%18.93%18.87%20.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.774.755.2523.09%20.94%21.05%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Heidenheim (Local): 63.81%; FC Energie Cottbus (Visit): 17.30%; Draw: 18.89%. For FC Energie Cottbus (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.78. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.42%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.26%EV -5.56%E -3.76%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.31%EV +2.42%E +0.409%K +0.492%G +0.012%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.43%EV -1.01%E -0.193%K -0.238%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-24 10:46
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.39%E -6.61%K -22.36%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV +2.08%E +0.352%K +0.424%G +0.009%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -7.43%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 10:54
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.26%EV -5.56%E -3.76%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.17%EV +1.73%E +0.294%K +0.355%G +0.006%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.57%EV -8.19%E -1.69%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 10:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.94%EV -7.48%E -5.16%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.23%EV +0.346%E +0.060%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 10:51
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.84%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.45%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV +0.346%E +0.060%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -7.43%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 10:51
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -7.48%E -5.16%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -0.519%E -0.090%K -0.109%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -0.822%E -0.157%K -0.193%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 10:59
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -0.519%E -0.090%K -0.109%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 10:58
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -0.519%E -0.090%K -0.109%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 10:55
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.32%EV -9.39%E -6.61%K -22.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -0.519%E -0.090%K -0.109%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 10:51
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -8.75%E -6.12%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -3.11%E -0.556%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -11.21%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 10:59
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -5.56%E -3.76%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -4.84%E -0.881%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-24 10:50
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -5.56%E -3.76%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -4.84%E -0.881%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-24 10:49
picklebet_au🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.05%EV -6.20%E -4.22%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.84%E -0.881%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 10:40
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.05%EV -6.20%E -4.22%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.84%E -0.881%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 10:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.12%EV -7.48%E -5.16%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -4.84%E -0.881%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -7.43%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 10:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.68%EV -8.75%E -6.12%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -4.84%E -0.881%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 10:55
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.84%E -0.881%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 10:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.84%E -0.881%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.84%E -0.881%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 10:55
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.84%E -0.881%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 10:55
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -4.84%E -0.881%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -13.10%E -2.85%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 10:51
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -10.67%E -7.62%K -26.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -4.84%E -0.881%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -13.10%E -2.85%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 10:51
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.67%E -7.62%K -26.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -4.84%E -0.881%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 10:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.64%EV -6.57%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.86%EV -4.60%E -0.911%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 10:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.64%EV -6.57%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.86%EV -4.60%E -0.911%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 10:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.69%EV -5.56%E -3.76%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -6.57%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 10:46
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.38%EV -5.56%E -3.76%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 10:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -6.20%E -4.22%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -7.43%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 10:40
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.85%EV -7.48%E -5.16%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 10:40
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.45%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.63%EV -10.03%E -1.93%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -7.43%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 10:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.81%EV -6.84%E -4.69%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.76%E -2.31%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -1.77%E -0.340%K -0.421%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 10:40
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.04%EV -7.48%E -5.16%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -11.76%E -2.31%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 10:40
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.04%EV -7.48%E -5.16%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -11.76%E -2.31%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.46%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -13.49%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.10%E -2.85%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.46%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -13.49%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.10%E -2.85%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 10:51
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.46%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -13.49%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.10%E -2.85%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 10:50
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.46%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -13.49%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.10%E -2.85%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 10:51
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.45%EV -11.95%E -8.66%K -31.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.51%EV -13.49%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.04%EV -13.10%E -2.85%K -3.64%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-24 10:58
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.05%EV -13.22%E -9.72%K -36.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.42%EV -13.49%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.53%EV -11.21%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-24 10:40
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.75%EV -1.10%E -0.708%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -15.22%E -3.11%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -11.21%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 10:40
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.75%EV -1.10%E -0.708%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -15.22%E -3.11%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -11.21%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.75%EV -1.10%E -0.708%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -15.22%E -3.11%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -11.21%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 10:40
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.75%EV -1.10%E -0.708%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -15.22%E -3.11%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -11.21%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 10:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.75%EV -1.10%E -0.708%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -15.22%E -3.11%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -11.21%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 10:40
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.75%EV -1.10%E -0.708%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -15.22%E -3.11%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -11.21%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 10:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.75%EV -1.10%E -0.708%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -15.22%E -3.11%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -11.21%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 10:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.75%EV -1.10%E -0.708%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -15.22%E -3.11%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -11.21%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 10:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.07%EV -9.39%E -6.61%K -22.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.96%E -3.53%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -7.43%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-24 10:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.06%EV -9.39%E -6.61%K -22.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.36%EV -16.96%E -3.53%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-24 10:46
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -17.82%E -3.75%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -18.20%E -4.20%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-24 10:30
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -20.42%E -4.44%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 10:40
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -20.42%E -4.44%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -16.88%E -3.84%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-24 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -20.42%E -4.44%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -16.88%E -3.84%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-24 10:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.15%EV -4.93%E -3.31%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.48%EV -20.42%E -4.44%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -16.88%E -3.84%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-24 10:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -5.56%E -3.76%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -22.15%E -4.92%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.38%EV -17.82%E -4.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-24 10:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -5.56%E -3.76%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -22.15%E -4.92%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.38%EV -17.82%E -4.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-24 10:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.60%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.58%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-10-24 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.60%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.58%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-10-24 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.60%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.58%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-10-24 10:55
Matchbook◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.75%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%0.7%2026-10-24 10:55
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.27%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.87%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.86%0.8%2026-10-24 10:51
Smarkets◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.82%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.32%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.86%2.0%2026-10-24 10:55

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