La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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1. FC Heidenheim v FC Energie Cottbus

2026-10-24 11:00 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

1. FC Heidenheim (Local)

Predicción 56.03%1.78momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -2.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.93%56.09%55.84%59.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.511.611.601.7566.23%62.05%62.50%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Energie Cottbus (Visitante)

Predicción 22.98%4.35momio equitativo
EV +8.01%
Ventaja +1.70%
Kelly +2.16%
Crecimiento +0.173%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.85%22.84%23.03%24.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.504.134.004.7028.57%24.21%25.00%21.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 20.99%4.76momio equitativo
EV -0.291%
Ventaja -0.061%
Kelly -0.078%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.05%21.06%21.12%22.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.364.334.7525.00%22.94%23.09%21.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: 1. FC Heidenheim (Local): 56.03%; FC Energie Cottbus (Visitante): 22.98%; Empate: 20.99%. Para FC Energie Cottbus (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.35. 12 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.70, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +8.01%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.27%EV -11.48%E -7.26%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV +8.01%E +1.70%K +2.16%G +0.173%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 11:05
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -12.04%E -7.67%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV +8.01%E +1.70%K +2.16%G +0.173%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 11:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -12.04%E -7.67%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV +8.01%E +1.70%K +2.16%G +0.173%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 11:05
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -12.04%E -7.67%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV +8.01%E +1.70%K +2.16%G +0.173%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 11:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -12.04%E -7.67%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV +8.01%E +1.70%K +2.16%G +0.173%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 11:05
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -12.04%E -7.67%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV +8.01%E +1.70%K +2.16%G +0.173%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 11:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -12.04%E -7.67%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV +8.01%E +1.70%K +2.16%G +0.173%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -12.04%E -7.67%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV +8.01%E +1.70%K +2.16%G +0.173%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 11:05
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.65%EV -13.16%E -8.49%K -23.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV +3.41%E +0.758%K +0.975%G +0.033%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -9.74%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 11:05
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.40%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV +1.11%E +0.253%K +0.328%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16%EV -10.79%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-17 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.40%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV +1.11%E +0.253%K +0.328%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16%EV -10.79%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-17 11:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.56%EV -14.28%E -9.33%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV +1.11%E +0.253%K +0.328%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -10.79%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-17 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.43%EV -14.84%E -9.76%K -28.53%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.42%EV -0.035%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-17 11:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.59%EV -15.40%E -10.20%K -30.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -0.035%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.07%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-17 11:05
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.47%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -1.18%E -0.275%K -0.359%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.21%EV -0.291%E -0.061%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 12:44
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -1.18%E -0.275%K -0.359%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 12:44
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.54%EV -8.67%E -5.32%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -2.33%E -0.549%K -0.718%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -3.44%E -0.748%K -0.956%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 12:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -2.33%E -0.549%K -0.718%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -10.79%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 12:45
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -3.48%E -0.829%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -3.44%E -0.748%K -0.956%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 12:40
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -3.48%E -0.829%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -3.44%E -0.748%K -0.956%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 12:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -3.48%E -0.829%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-17 14:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.48%E -0.829%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 12:15
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.12%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.82%EV -5.09%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -1.34%E -0.285%K -0.362%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 12:55
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -9.11%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 12:34
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -9.11%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 12:35
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -9.11%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 12:15
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -10.35%E -6.47%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 12:15
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.25%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.00%EV -9.00%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.75%EV -3.86%E -0.843%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 12:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -10.38%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-17 12:00
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.38%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -9.74%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-17 12:00
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.38%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -9.74%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-17 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -10.35%E -6.47%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -10.38%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -10.35%E -6.47%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -10.38%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 12:40
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -10.35%E -6.47%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -10.38%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 12:40
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -10.35%E -6.47%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -10.38%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 12:40
picklebet_au🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.12%EV -6.99%E -4.21%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -12.67%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 12:00
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.67%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.67%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.67%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 12:40
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.67%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 12:40
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -8.11%E -4.95%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -13.82%E -3.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 12:05
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.21%EV -12.04%E -7.67%K -21.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.12%EV -13.82%E -3.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -16.03%E -4.01%K -5.34%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-17 12:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.12%EV -10.92%E -6.86%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.01%EV -16.12%E -4.42%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-17 11:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 55.93%EV -14.28%E -9.33%K -26.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.45%EV -16.12%E -4.42%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.62%EV -12.89%E -3.11%K -4.09%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-17 12:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.86%EV -10.35%E -6.47%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -18.42%E -5.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%EV -9.74%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-17 12:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 54.72%EV -11.48%E -7.26%K -19.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -19.57%E -5.59%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.58%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-17 12:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 54.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.47%16.5%2026-10-17 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 38.89%1.96I 51.02%NM 22.22%1.12I 89.29%NM 38.89%129.6%2026-10-17 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 38.89%1.96I 51.02%NM 22.22%1.12I 89.29%NM 38.89%129.6%2026-10-17 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 39.20%1.96I 51.02%NM 21.60%1.08I 92.59%NM 39.20%136.2%2026-10-17 13:05
Arbitraje (16 combinaciones) +0.53%Tipico (DE) 1.75 (57.4%) / Unibet 4.70 (21.4%) / Fanatics 4.75 (21.2%)Ver las 16 combinaciones
1. FC Heidenheim (Local)FC Energie Cottbus (Visitante)EmpateMargen
Tipico (DE)🎯 1.75 (57.4%)Unibet🎯 4.70 (21.4%)Fanatics🎯 4.75 (21.2%)+0.531%
Tipico (DE)🎯 1.75 (57.4%)Casumo🎯 4.70 (21.4%)Fanatics🎯 4.75 (21.2%)+0.531%
Tipico (DE)🎯 1.75 (57.4%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.70 (21.4%)Fanatics🎯 4.75 (21.2%)+0.531%
Tipico (DE)🎯 1.75 (57.4%)Grosvenor🎯 4.70 (21.4%)Fanatics🎯 4.75 (21.2%)+0.531%
Tipico (DE)🎯 1.75 (57.4%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.70 (21.4%)Fanatics🎯 4.75 (21.2%)+0.531%
Tipico (DE)🎯 1.75 (57.4%)betPARX🎯 4.70 (21.4%)Fanatics🎯 4.75 (21.2%)+0.531%
Tipico (DE)🎯 1.75 (57.4%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.70 (21.4%)Fanatics🎯 4.75 (21.2%)+0.531%
Tipico (DE)🎯 1.75 (57.4%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.70 (21.4%)Fanatics🎯 4.75 (21.2%)+0.531%
Tipico (DE)🎯 1.75 (57.3%)Unibet🎯 4.70 (21.3%)1xBet🎯 4.70 (21.3%)+0.305%
Tipico (DE)🎯 1.75 (57.3%)Casumo🎯 4.70 (21.3%)1xBet🎯 4.70 (21.3%)+0.305%
Tipico (DE)🎯 1.75 (57.3%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.70 (21.3%)1xBet🎯 4.70 (21.3%)+0.305%
Tipico (DE)🎯 1.75 (57.3%)Grosvenor🎯 4.70 (21.3%)1xBet🎯 4.70 (21.3%)+0.305%
Tipico (DE)🎯 1.75 (57.3%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.70 (21.3%)1xBet🎯 4.70 (21.3%)+0.305%
Tipico (DE)🎯 1.75 (57.3%)betPARX🎯 4.70 (21.3%)1xBet🎯 4.70 (21.3%)+0.305%
Tipico (DE)🎯 1.75 (57.3%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.70 (21.3%)1xBet🎯 4.70 (21.3%)+0.305%
Tipico (DE)🎯 1.75 (57.3%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.70 (21.3%)1xBet🎯 4.70 (21.3%)+0.305%