Union Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt

2026-08-29 13:30 — Bundesliga - Germany

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (6 in analysis)

Option 1: Union Berlin (Local)

Odds

2.2544.44%Min

2.4840.37%Mean

2.4540.82%Median

2.6537.74%Max

Consensus probabilities

36.11%2.769Min

38.66%2.587Max

37.52%2.665Mean

37.47%2.669Median

37.43%2.671IQM

37.46%2.669Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.65 under the IQM model: 37.43%

EV -0.798%Edge -0.301%Kelly -0.484%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Eintracht Frankfurt (Visit)

Odds

2.3043.48%Min

2.5938.60%Mean

2.6338.10%Median

2.6937.17%Max

Consensus probabilities

35.16%2.845Min

37.38%2.675Max

36.18%2.764Mean

36.03%2.775Median

36.08%2.772IQM

36.14%2.767Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.69 under the IQM model: 36.08%

EV -2.95%Edge -1.10%Kelly -1.74%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.2031.25%Min

3.5128.48%Mean

3.5827.97%Median

3.7426.74%Max

Consensus probabilities

24.92%4.013Min

28.45%3.515Max

26.31%3.801Mean

26.50%3.774Median

26.49%3.776IQM

26.40%3.788Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.74 under the IQM model: 26.49%

EV -0.941%Edge -0.252%Kelly -0.343%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Union Berlin (Local) ▼	Eintracht Frankfurt (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	2.65I 37.74% NM 37.12%EV -0.798% E -0.301% K -0.484% G +0.000%	2.69I 37.17% NM 36.57%EV -2.95% E -1.10% K -1.74% G +0.000%	3.74I 26.74% NM 26.30%EV -0.941% E -0.252% K -0.343% G +0.000%	1.6%	2026-07-05 02:20
Marathon Bet	2.61I 38.31% NM 37.12%EV -2.30% E -0.880% K -1.43% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 36.56%EV -4.39% E -1.66% K -2.66% G +0.000%	3.68I 27.17% NM 26.33%EV -2.53% E -0.688% K -0.944% G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-07-05 02:10
Coral	2.60I 38.46% NM 36.27%EV -2.67% E -1.03% K -1.67% G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17% NM 35.99%EV -5.47% E -2.09% K -3.38% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.74%EV -9.95% E -2.93% K -4.14% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-05 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.60I 38.46% NM 36.11%EV -2.67% E -1.03% K -1.67% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 35.43%EV -4.39% E -1.66% K -2.66% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 28.45%EV -12.60% E -3.82% K -5.48% G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-05 14:10
Neds	2.60I 38.46% NM 36.11%EV -2.67% E -1.03% K -1.67% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 35.43%EV -4.39% E -1.66% K -2.66% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 28.45%EV -12.60% E -3.82% K -5.48% G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-05 14:15
Codere (IT)	2.55I 39.22% NM 37.44%EV -4.54% E -1.78% K -2.93% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 36.03%EV -4.39% E -1.66% K -2.66% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 26.52%EV -4.65% E -1.29% K -1.79% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-03 20:25
Tipico (DE)	2.55I 39.22% NM 37.16%EV -4.54% E -1.78% K -2.93% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 35.76%EV -4.39% E -1.66% K -2.66% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 27.08%EV -7.30% E -2.09% K -2.92% G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-03 17:45
betfred_uk	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.76%EV -6.41% E -2.57% K -4.28% G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17% NM 36.03%EV -5.47% E -2.09% K -3.38% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 26.22%EV -4.65% E -1.29% K -1.79% G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-03 14:35
SportsBet	2.45I 40.82% NM 38.66%EV -8.29% E -3.38% K -5.71% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 35.74%EV -4.39% E -1.66% K -2.66% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 25.60%EV -2.00% E -0.541% K -0.741% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-03 11:25
Betr (AU)	2.45I 40.82% NM 38.39%EV -8.29% E -3.38% K -5.71% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 35.49%EV -4.39% E -1.66% K -2.66% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 26.12%EV -4.65% E -1.29% K -1.79% G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-03 14:30
FanDuel	2.45I 40.82% NM 38.39%EV -8.29% E -3.38% K -5.71% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 35.49%EV -4.39% E -1.66% K -2.66% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 26.12%EV -4.65% E -1.29% K -1.79% G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-03 14:35
Sky Bet	2.45I 40.82% NM 38.28%EV -8.29% E -3.38% K -5.71% G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02% NM 35.66%EV -5.11% E -1.94% K -3.14% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 26.05%EV -4.65% E -1.29% K -1.79% G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-03 11:25
Hard Rock Bet	2.45I 40.82% NM 37.85%EV -8.29% E -3.38% K -5.71% G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46% NM 35.66%EV -6.19% E -2.38% K -3.87% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.49%EV -7.30% E -2.09% K -2.92% G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-03 16:45
LeoVegas	2.45I 40.82% NM 37.44%EV -8.29% E -3.38% K -5.71% G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22% NM 35.97%EV -8.00% E -3.14% K -5.16% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.59%EV -8.62% E -2.50% K -3.52% G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-05 12:05
Unibet (UK)	2.45I 40.82% NM 37.29%EV -8.29% E -3.38% K -5.71% G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22% NM 35.83%EV -8.00% E -3.14% K -5.16% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.87%EV -9.95% E -2.93% K -4.14% G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-07-03 16:40
Paddy Power	2.40I 41.67% NM 38.61%EV -10.16% E -4.23% K -7.26% G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46% NM 35.64%EV -6.19% E -2.38% K -3.87% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 25.74%EV -4.65% E -1.29% K -1.79% G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-03 15:10
Winamax (DE)	2.40I 41.67% NM 38.21%EV -10.16% E -4.23% K -7.26% G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22% NM 35.96%EV -8.00% E -3.14% K -5.16% G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17% NM 25.83%EV -5.97% E -1.68% K -2.34% G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-07-03 16:45
BoyleSports	2.38I 42.02% NM 37.70%EV -10.91% E -4.58% K -7.90% G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.38%EV -13.41% E -5.59% K -9.58% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 24.92%EV -4.65% E -1.29% K -1.79% G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-07-05 11:50
Betclic (FR)	2.32I 43.10% NM 37.85%EV -13.15% E -5.67% K -9.96% G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49% NM 35.55%EV -10.88% E -4.41% K -7.40% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 26.61%EV -12.60% E -3.82% K -5.48% G +0.000%	13.9%	2026-07-03 17:34
Unibet (FR)	2.30I 43.48% NM 38.21%EV -13.90% E -6.04% K -10.69% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 35.16%EV -9.80% E -3.92% K -6.53% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 26.63%EV -12.60% E -3.82% K -5.48% G +0.000%	13.8%	2026-07-03 21:00
Winamax (FR)	2.25I 44.44% NM 37.29%EV -15.77% E -7.01% K -12.62% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 36.48%EV -17.02% E -7.40% K -13.09% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 26.22%EV -15.24% E -4.76% K -6.93% G +0.000%	19.2%	2026-07-03 16:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Union Berlin (Local)	Eintracht Frankfurt (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets	2.30I 43.48%	2.40I 41.67%	3.15I 31.75%	16.9%	2026-07-03 15:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.36I 73.53%	1.36I 73.53%	1.02I 98.04%	145.1%	2026-07-04 21:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.36I 73.53%	1.36I 73.53%	1.02I 98.04%	145.1%	2026-07-04 21:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.36I 73.53%	1.36I 73.53%	1.02I 98.04%	145.1%	2026-07-04 21:40