La escuela de los momios

Union Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt

2026-08-29 13:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Union Berlin (Local)

Predicción 39.89%2.51momio equitativo
EV -1.88%
Ventaja -0.763%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.02%39.85%39.93%41.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.332.322.4646.51%42.89%43.10%40.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Eintracht Frankfurt (Visitante)

Predicción 33.24%3.01momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.426%
Kelly -0.642%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.52%33.36%33.22%34.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.792.802.9738.02%35.87%35.71%33.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.87%3.72momio equitativo
EV +0.758%
Ventaja +0.202%
Kelly +0.276%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.51%26.79%26.85%27.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.483.503.7530.77%28.70%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.55%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.61%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.84%EV +0.758%E +0.202%K +0.276%G +0.002%3.2%2026-07-06 11:40
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -8.58%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -0.586%E -0.158%K -0.217%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 11:04
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 40.05%EV -1.88%E -0.763%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 33.17%EV -1.26%E -0.426%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.77%EV -1.12%E -0.305%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.5%2026-07-18 23:35
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 40.04%EV -3.47%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.19%EV -2.93%E -1.00%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.77%EV -2.74%E -0.756%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-18 23:29
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -3.27%E -0.909%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 07:24
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.58%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -3.27%E -0.909%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 11:05
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.58%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -3.27%E -0.909%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 11:05
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -8.58%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.27%E -0.909%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 11:05
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -10.24%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.27%E -0.909%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 11:04
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -10.24%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -3.27%E -0.909%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-06 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -10.24%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -3.27%E -0.909%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-09 08:30
Codere (IT)2.41I 41.49%NM 39.61%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.50%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -4.62%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 14:44
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.10%EV -4.26%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -4.62%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 07:24
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.10%EV -4.26%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -4.62%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 07:24
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -10.24%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -4.62%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-06 11:00
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -3.92%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.42%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 14:15
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -3.92%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.42%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 14:15
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.65%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.16%EV -4.59%E -1.60%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 20:13
Bovada2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -4.26%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 15:24
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 20:14
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 05:45
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -4.26%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 20:15
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 01:54
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:34
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:35
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:34
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:34
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:35
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:35
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:40
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:39
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:45
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 10:05
PMU (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-16 17:31
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.24%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-23 09:29
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.24%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 04:54
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -12.25%E -5.57%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -10.24%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-06 17:08
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 39.98%EV -5.87%E -2.49%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.99%EV -4.92%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.03%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 13:40
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -11.90%E -4.49%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -7.30%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-13 20:10
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 00:10
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 17:07
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 20:15
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.32%EV -5.47%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-10 20:14
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.58%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 14:44
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-13 12:15
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-16 23:50
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.24%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 23:38
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.24%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 23:35
Suprabets2.30I 43.48%NM 39.88%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.99%EV -7.58%E -2.73%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.13%EV -9.18%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 20:07
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 07:24
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.58%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-06 11:29
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.24%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-07 04:35
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.24%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-07 04:35
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -14.24%E -6.62%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -11.90%E -4.49%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-10 14:44
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.88%EV -12.25%E -5.57%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.36%EV -12.57%E -4.78%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.75%EV -11.87%E -3.62%K -5.21%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-10 14:44
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.22%EV -13.45%E -6.20%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.93%EV -11.90%E -4.49%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.85%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-22 13:43
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 39.32%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%4.2%2026-07-26 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 39.32%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%4.2%2026-07-26 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 39.32%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%4.2%2026-07-26 03:15
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 39.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 33.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.31%16.3%2026-07-13 10:40