Language:English
SC Paderborn v VfL Wolfsburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SC Paderborn (Local)
Prediction 28.28%3.54fair odd
EV +3.23%
Edge +0.885%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.039%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.57%28.12%28.30%28.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.393.383.6531.25%29.52%29.59%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
VfL Wolfsburg (Visit)
Prediction 43.95%2.28fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.05%44.03%43.95%45.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.122.152.2149.50%47.11%46.51%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.76%3.60fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -0.645%
Kelly -0.900%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.83%27.84%27.75%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.343.403.5232.26%29.96%29.41%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Paderborn (Local): 28.28%; VfL Wolfsburg (Visit): 43.95%; Draw: 27.76%. For SC Paderborn (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.23%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV +3.23%E +0.885%K +1.22%G +0.039% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -5.06%E -2.34%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.53%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV +3.23%E +0.885%K +1.22%G +0.039% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -5.06%E -2.34%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.53%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV +3.23%E +0.885%K +1.22%G +0.039% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -5.06%E -2.34%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.53%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV +3.23%E +0.885%K +1.22%G +0.039% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -5.06%E -2.34%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.53%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.99%EV +1.25%E +0.350%K +0.485%G +0.006% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.57%EV -6.82%E -3.22%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -2.27%E -0.645%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.99%EV +1.25%E +0.350%K +0.485%G +0.006% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.57%EV -6.82%E -3.22%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -2.27%E -0.645%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.40%EV -5.06%E -2.34%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.20%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -2.82%E -0.807%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -8.58%E -4.12%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.77%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -8.58%E -4.12%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.77%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -8.58%E -4.12%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.77%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -8.58%E -4.12%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.77%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%EV -2.42%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.84%EV -2.86%E -1.30%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -2.42%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.38%EV -6.38%E -3.00%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 12:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -2.42%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -9.46%E -4.59%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.15%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -2.42%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -9.46%E -4.59%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.15%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -2.42%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -9.46%E -4.59%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.15%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.20%EV -2.99%E -0.872%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.17%EV -3.74%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%EV -2.82%E -0.807%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -12.54%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.10%EV -4.40%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.38%EV -5.94%E -2.78%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:16 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.51%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.41%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.34%EV -3.74%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.31%EV -10.34%E -5.07%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -12.54%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -11.22%E -5.55%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.93%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -11.22%E -5.55%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.93%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -2.82%E -0.807%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.77%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 18:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.82%E -3.22%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.82%E -3.22%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.77%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.77%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.77%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.77%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-25 17:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 3.0% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |