La escuela de los momiosSC Paderborn v VfL Wolfsburg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
SC Paderborn (Local)
Predicción 28.28%3.54momio equitativo
EV +3.23%
Ventaja +0.885%
Kelly +1.22%
Crecimiento +0.039%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.57%28.12%28.30%28.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.393.383.6531.25%29.52%29.59%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
VfL Wolfsburg (Visitante)
Predicción 43.95%2.28momio equitativo
EV -2.86%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -2.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.05%44.03%43.95%45.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.022.122.152.2149.50%47.11%46.51%45.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.76%3.60momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -0.645%
Kelly -0.900%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.83%27.84%27.75%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.343.403.5232.26%29.96%29.41%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV +3.23%E +0.885%K +1.22%G +0.039% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -5.06%E -2.34%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.53%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV +3.23%E +0.885%K +1.22%G +0.039% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -5.06%E -2.34%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.53%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV +3.23%E +0.885%K +1.22%G +0.039% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -5.06%E -2.34%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.53%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV +3.23%E +0.885%K +1.22%G +0.039% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -5.06%E -2.34%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.53%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.99%EV +1.25%E +0.350%K +0.485%G +0.006% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.57%EV -6.82%E -3.22%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -2.27%E -0.645%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.99%EV +1.25%E +0.350%K +0.485%G +0.006% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.57%EV -6.82%E -3.22%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -2.27%E -0.645%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.40%EV -5.06%E -2.34%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.20%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -2.82%E -0.807%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Casumo | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -8.58%E -4.12%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.77%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Grosvenor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -8.58%E -4.12%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.77%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| betPARX | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -8.58%E -4.12%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.77%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Bally Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -8.58%E -4.12%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.77%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%EV -2.42%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.84%EV -2.86%E -1.30%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| GTbets | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -2.42%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.38%EV -6.38%E -3.00%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 12:39 |
| TABtouch | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -2.42%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -9.46%E -4.59%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.15%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -2.42%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -9.46%E -4.59%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.15%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Unibet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -2.42%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -9.46%E -4.59%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.15%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Pinnacle | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.20%EV -2.99%E -0.872%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.17%EV -3.74%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%EV -2.82%E -0.807%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| theScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| BetUS | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Caesars | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| BetRivers | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -12.54%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Suprabets | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.10%EV -4.40%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.38%EV -5.94%E -2.78%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:16 |
| Everygame | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.51%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.41%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Bovada | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.34%EV -3.74%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| LeoVegas | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.31%EV -10.34%E -5.07%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -12.54%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -11.22%E -5.55%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.93%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -11.22%E -5.55%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.93%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 17:50 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -2.82%E -0.807%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.77%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Neds | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Bet Victor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 18:19 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.82%E -3.22%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.82%E -3.22%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.77%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.77%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.77%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| TAB | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.77%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-25 17:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 3.0% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |